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Good morning, everybody.
I call this meeting to order. Welcome to meeting number 17 of the House of Commons Standing Committee on Public Safety and National Security.
I will start by acknowledging that I am meeting here on Treaty 1 territory in the home of the Métis nation.
Today's meeting is taking place in a hybrid format pursuant to the House order of November 25, 2021. Members are attending in person in the room and remotely using the Zoom application. Per the directive of the Board of Internal Economy on March 10, 2022, all those attending the meeting in person must wear a mask except for members who are at their place during the proceedings.
Members and witnesses participating virtually may speak in the official language of their choice. You have the choice at the bottom of your screen of either the floor, English or French.
The committee clerk will advise the chair on whose hands are up to the best of his ability, and we will do the best we can to maintain a consolidated order of speaking for all members whether they are participating virtually or in person.
Pursuant to Standing Order 108(2) and the motions adopted by the committee on Thursday, March 3, 2022, the committee is commencing its assessment of Canada's security posture in relation to Russia.
With us today by video conference as individuals are Dr. James Fergusson, deputy director, centre for defence and security studies at the University of Manitoba; Dr. Robert Huebert, associate professor, department of political science, University of Calgary; and Dr. Veronica Kitchen, associate professor, department of political science, University of Waterloo.
Up to five minutes will be given for opening remarks, after which we will proceed with rounds of questions.
Welcome to all of you.
I now invite Dr. Fergusson to make an opening statement of up to five minutes.
Sir, the floor is yours.
:
Thank you, and thank you for the invitation.
I want to begin my brief comments with a concern I have. I think it's very important that the committee and the government do not overreact, if not go into panic, with regard to existing vulnerabilities both in the cyberworld and defence world of Canada from Russian capabilities.
Certainly the war has heightened the attention, but as I would argue to you, these vulnerabilities have been here for a long time now. We need to recognize, given the adversarial relationship that exists between Russia and Canada, Russia and the west, that this is not a new Cold War. There are other issues and other threats out there which have to be taken into account in trying to respond to the Russian side of this equation.
In terms of the cyberworld, what I would point out in my central concerns is primarily the question of whether the government and particularly our relationship with the United States as a function of economic integration and the integration of critical infrastructure is structured properly to deal with the vulnerabilities that exist. There is no central agency as in the defence world, in this case NORAD, to coordinate responses to potential Russian cyber-attacks, whether they are for espionage reasons or attempts to undermine or sabotage critical infrastructure. I think this is an important issue. NORAD for some time has sought to be, or believed that it could be, responsible for the cybersecurity world, cyber-defence in North America. I still argue that this is very problematic.
Some restructuring is necessary, I believe, particularly in the relationship with the United States, but the cyberworld is a unique world from the defence world, not least of all because the critical infrastructure is by and large in the hands of the private sector. Private sector issues, of course corporate issues, with regard to threats have different dynamics and different concerns on the corporate side relative to government. This is not just the federal government, but also includes the provincial government.
In terms of disinformation, I'm not one who believes that Russian disinformation, Chinese disinformation or anyone's disinformation campaigns really have much of an effect at all. I think that's highly overblown and exaggerated. Espionage has been around and that is a concern, but that's a concern to ensure that government and military cyber-networks are closed and secure.
Canada has no capacity except to deny access as best it can across the spectrum. We have no ability to retaliate in terms of a cyber retaliation, so I think we need to think about those things in particular.
In the physical world, the defence world, I would point out to the committee that for a long time, Russian strategic doctrine has been one of first use of nuclear weapons. The Russians have developed a new set of capabilities beyond their ballistic missile capacities. These are in the world of longer and longer range cruise missiles and the future nuclear-powered cruise missiles and hypersonic vehicles, all of which are nuclear and conventional capable. It's hard for defence, of course, to know what is coming, if it's coming. We have significant gaps and vulnerabilities which have existed for over a decade in terms of the ability of NORAD, and as a result Canada, to be able to detect these threats, to track them, to discriminate, and then to be able to cue interception capabilities.
Interceptors are another issue. The F-35 is a step forward, but there's a broad need to rethink the way Canada in conjunction with the United States via NORAD undertakes and modernizes North American defence to reduce our vulnerability and to be able to deter potential Russian threats. This will affect the way Canada and the United States—North America—respond to threats that originate overseas as we see today in Ukraine.
I shall leave it there. I look forward to your questions.
:
Thank you very much. I'm very honoured to be asked here to contribute to this very important topic.
In the five minutes, I have five points.
The first point is that Russia is an existential threat to Canada and it is growing.
The second point is that we have either ignored or appeased Russia since the signs of the type threat that we are dealing with, which has been developing since 2008. We are not talking about a threat that developed in February 2022. We're not talking about one that developed in March 2014. It is one that clearly has been indicating to us what it means to Canada and what it ultimately means to Canadian security.
This threat comes from Putin and the administration of Putin seeing an existential threat to his regime by the activities and the existence of NATO. NATO, of course, is the alliance in which Canada is a participant, along with NORAD, which means that any conflict that involves NATO will involve Canada.
Now, where does this threat come from? There are two major elements that drive the Russian threat to Canada. The first one is that we have seen Putin, even on his first days as acting president in 1999, move to reconsolidate the Russian empire. What do I mean by this? One of the very first steps he took as acting president was to intensify the war in Chechnya, which the Russians had come close to losing in 1994. They were subsequently successful in being able to put down the moves for secession. We see a series of military moves to expand Russian control starting with Chechnya and Georgia, and then when the Ukrainian war actually starts, which was 2014. We see that there is this effort.
The second part is the protection of the regime. Once again, we have tended to ignore the threat, but we see the manner in which the Russian regime has moved against any opposition within and even those opposition that are physically outside of Russia.
Perhaps the most important element of this threat that Canada has in fact been ignoring is the Russian way of war and its willingness to use that way of war to achieve its policy objectives, which places it on a direct collision course with NATO.
When we talk about Russia, there are at least three levels to their multi-domain processes of warfare.
The first one, which Dr. Fergusson also touched on, is the existence of the Russian commitment to use tactical nuclear war. We have tended to pretend, after the initiations under the Gorbachev regime of significant arms control movements, that this was a thing of the past. The reality is that in Russian doctrine, Russian force projection and Russian force delivery, we see that they are modernizing their tactical capability. We see the threat that Putin gives today to utilize nuclear weapons. This illustrates and is further amplified by the Russian commitment to also learn how to blind NATO countries.
We have seen the demonstration effect when the Russians demonstrated how they can shoot down one of their own satellites with their missile capability. In February of this year, they also demonstrated how they can cut cables and, hence, communications. All of this points to a very concrete tactic, so that if they indeed feel it necessary to use nuclear weapons, we would be involved.
They have also demonstrated a very strong willingness to engage in conventional war with means that I'm afraid we do not have a full appreciation of. Some of the evaluations coming out at this phase of the Ukrainian crisis illustrates that we did not pay attention to the Georgian war, the Chechnyan war and the Syrian war.
Dr. Fergusson has already touched upon cyberwarfare. I am more concerned about the weaponization of social media. I do think that the Russians are problematic, in light of some of the evidence that our American and British allies have shown.
Ultimately, we are facing a threat from Russia. It is growing and it is reaching the level of an existential crisis.
Thank you very much.
:
Mr. Chair and members of the committee, thank you for the kind invitation to speak to you today on the topic of Canada's emergency preparedness for threats posed by Russia.
My remarks today draw on a career studying Canadian security in a global context, and specifically on the work I've done with the Canadian Network for Research on Terrorism, Security and Society and as co-director for North American security at the Defence and Security Foresight Group.
The threat to Canada is exacerbated by Russia's clear desperation. Missiles over the Canadian Arctic or the use of weapons of mass destruction look more likely than they did a few months ago, even accounting for the fact that Russia is clearly preoccupied by its invasion of Ukraine not going as it expected. This may mean that the prospects for widening its targets to include Canada or NATO allies may be smaller in the short term, but possibly only the very short term.
What are the most immediate threats? My colleagues have already discussed some of the military threats. I want to focus on some of the immediate but more indirect threats to Canadian public safety.
Russia's disinformation campaign has been hindered by sanctions that have removed Russian media from our airwaves, but they are still prevalent on social media and in forums frequented by adherents of other kinds of populist conspiracy. The weapon of disinformation is not going away. One of the lessons of sanctions research is that sanctions become less effective over time, so we should expect this to be an ongoing threat from Russia. Canada is a target as a member of NATO, but also as a long-standing supporter of Ukraine as personified in the Deputy Prime Minister, .
Russian disinformation campaigns connect the invasion of Ukraine to QAnon and other deep state conspiracy theories that feed hate crimes and distrust of the Canadian government. A concrete example is the recent QAnon claim that President Putin endorsed the sovereign authority of Romana Didulo, the self-styled “queen of Canada” and QAnon adherent. The attractiveness of conspiracy theories has been increased by the COVID-19 pandemic, and will be increased even more by Russian misinformation, whether targeted directly at Canada or not.
Certainly there's a risk that adherents of these conspiracy theories will commit violent acts, but the political action of supporters of populist extremism can also have harmful effects that don't escalate to the level of security threat or crime. We saw examples of this in the recent trucker convoy in Ottawa, where traffic prevented ambulances from leaving downtown and convoy supporters flooded the 911 system with calls. I want to be very clear that I'm not suggesting that the trucker convoy was a product of Russian misinformation, because I don't think we know that, but these are examples of the kinds of effects that are threats to human security, exacerbated by Russian disinformation, that we're not used to dealing with in the context of security and law.
The good news is that only a narrow swath of Canadians will be attracted to these ideas and influenced by Russian misinformation. The bad news is that their effects are easily amplified by bots, and the solutions may be long term. Media literacy can help in some instances, but in many cases the disinformation will be too sophisticated to educate ourselves out of. Working with private companies, as has already been mentioned, and our allies to improve our technological responses to disinformation is essential. The recent creation of the advisory group on online hate is a step in the right direction, as is the security and intelligence threats to elections task force, which some have suggested should have a role [Technical difficulty—Editor] in now.
We also need to find ways to turn down the temperature on social polarization caused in part by human insecurity and exacerbated by the necessity for global action against Russia. Examples include increasing fuel and food prices, but reinforcing trust in institutions through transparency, reform and cultural change also has a role.
We should not underestimate the ways in which Russia's actions have affected Canada's security by destabilizing the world. Russia has undermined the United Nations, committed war crimes, generated massive flows of refugees and threatened our borders and our allies. Canada is less secure in a world where international law is not respected.
It is easy to be overwhelmed by the scale of the threat when we're talking about everything from a potential nuclear attack to hate crimes. Foreign policy and domestic security are linked. Working to protect Canada from the most direct threats, from missiles to misinformation, and contributing to end the war are obviously imperative. Welcoming refugees and ensuring that the social services that help them are adequately resourced is important, but so too is ensuring that there's a perception that refugees from other conflicts are treated equitably, because not doing so contributes to mistrust in government.
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The first answer is that we're vulnerable. The north warning system is out of date and, in fact, it's too limited to deal with the 360-degree threat environment that North America faces.
Government tends to talk about NORAD modernization as equivalent to modernization of the north warning system. It's much bigger than that. It's about North American defence modernization and developing a group of new sets of sensors, both land, sea, air and space-based, and developing the computer capabilities, the processing of analytical capabilities to be able to integrate an all-domain defence requirement. The F-35 is an important step forward, but it's only one step of thinking about the need for a much more complicated, complex, layered defence capability, one that has to move farther north.
All of these are major issues when we talk about dealing with the vulnerabilities that Canada faces in conjunction with our close ally, the United States, in trying to ensure that our deterrent, the Western deterrent, the U.S.-led deterrent, the global deterrent, is not undermined because of vulnerability at home.
Potential adversaries like Russia can hold Canadian populations as hostage, which would then reduce the willingness of governments in Canada and elsewhere to respond to deter these threats overseas.
Those are the two key elements in my mind.
:
I think that's an important issue. Right now it's more or less ad hoc, depending on the specific issues that emerge, particularly in the Arctic.
If you ask who is responsible at the bureaucratic level for the Arctic, the answer is everyone. If everyone is responsible, no one is responsible. Government needs to rethink how it's going to organize to ensure that the various agencies—and this ranges from the Defence department to Transport Canada, the Coast Guard, Health, Industry, Foreign Affairs, etc.—all have a piece of the pie, and that needs to be looked at seriously.
I understand that government never likes to do this big reorganization, but we have to remember that we are structured for a world that no longer exists, with the Arctic as a function of climate change. This coordination and co-operation needs to be developed quickly.
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It's a joint venture and, importantly, NORAD is the driver behind the issue surrounding NORAD modernization, which is North American defence modernization. It is the planning centre right now, which will start to move requirements forward, hopefully, over the near term.
In terms of processing information, because that is centralized at NORAD headquarters in Colorado Springs, that's by and large American. That, I would note, is what's known as their pathfinder initiative, which is going to try to deal with the use of artificial intelligence for the massive amounts of data that are going to pour in from the sensor system.
That's part of it, but the key thing to me is that because of the nature of the changing threat environment—the origins and the platforms relative to the missiles—it's time Canada and the United States sat down and started to seriously think about a functional, integrated North American defence command. We have close bilateral defence co-operation with the United States in the maritime and the land sectors, but because of the nature of the all-domain environment, we need to take the step that we took in 1957-58 for the air world. We now need to move it into a true, integrated North American defence command.
:
Absolutely. What we're seeing, and what we can see from some of the open reports, is that the Americans, of course, had to deal with the interference in their 2016 election. A British House of Commons committee examined what happened with Russian interference in Brexit, and there have been studies on Russian interference in the Castilian independence movement in Spain.
What we are seeing, or at least what seems to be appearing—and this is something of course that is Dr. Kitchen's expertise—is a focus on areas where society can be divided. This is what everybody refers to when they talk about the weaponization of social media. What the Russians have discovered...And we can't leave the Chinese out, because the Chinese are also heavily involved, or at least that is what comes out of the open literature. They try to divide societies by focusing on the various feeds that exist. This is then followed by a hope that somebody within that society will pick up that cause and become the leader.
It's sort of the issue that Lenin referred to back in the early days of Communism. “Useful idiots” basically tried to divide society. The effort today is actually to have a way of separating and neutralizing any support for the type of collective actions we need.
With regard to other cyber threats, we also know the Russians have shown an increasing capability of being able to interfere in various electronic systems and cyber systems of other states. We've seen this with their ability to influence the Ukrainian electrical system prior to the onset of the war in 2014. We're seeing this in other locations
Once again, it's hard to know exactly how well-defended we've become in being able to harden that part of cyberwarfare. There's no question, whatsoever, that the attention the Russians and the Chinese are giving this is increasing, if the reports from the Americans and British are indications of this capability.
First, I thank the witnesses for being here. Their expertise is more than welcome, given what is happening in Ukraine. We have good reason to be concerned.
Ms. Kitchen, I'm going to start with you.
You mentioned direct threats, but also indirect threats, including disinformation, the use of social media, phishing campaigns and the use of ransomware.
Aluminerie Alouette in Sept-Îles, one of the largest aluminum smelters in America, fell victim to a Russian ransomware attack in late February. The Russian group claimed responsibility for the attack, saying it had harvested up to 20% of the smelter's data. It said it was directly related to the west's economic sanctions against Russia. We are not immune to these kinds of attacks, which put our businesses, our citizens, our critical infrastructure and our democratic institutions at risk.
How do we protect ourselves from this? Do you think Canada is prepared to deal with these kinds of threats?
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I think there are many levels to this. There is a level at which individuals need to take personal responsibility, making sure they're using things like two-factor authentication to protect their own systems, and obviously, that also applies at the level of organizations.
From a governmental perspective, it is really, as has already been discussed, a question of co-operating, both between the private sector and public authorities. This also includes across borders, recognizing that these kinds of threats are not easily contained within domestic borders, because of the transnational nature of companies and groups.
As Dr. Huebert mentioned, there is this effort with disinformation to inspire others to take action, rather than taking action directly, so that's one of the ways you can see this crossover from the cyberworld into the physical world.
Certainly, it is very important to ensure that the types of software that run big systems like refineries are up to date and protected from the Internet.
:
Thank you very much, Chair.
I will echo my colleagues in thanking the witnesses for helping inform our committee study into this very important and very interesting subject.
Dr. Fergusson, I'd like to start with you. Our committee's mandate is specifically to review legislation, policies and programs for government departments that are responsible for public safety and national security. I want to keep it focused on our internal security and efforts.
During your opening statement, I was taking notes and you made mention of the fact that there is no central agency to respond to cyber-attacks and that some restructuring may be necessary. In the United States there is an alphabet soup of different security and intelligence agencies that, to various extents, have capabilities to investigate cyber-attacks. Here in Canada the RCMP, CSIS and CSE also have their capabilities.
I'd like to invite you to expand on those remarks. Are you talking about more American-Canadian co-operation into an agency to take care of North American cybersecurity?
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I wouldn't necessary say that we need an agency, but we certainly need a structure with the United States. Remember, the United States is structured differently. All those agencies you're talking about all live in one house, the Department of Homeland Security. They are a bit of a step ahead of us, whereas, if you look at us, the RCMP are dealing with criminal activities, as a lot of ransomware is about crime, as hackers are out to make money. Then we have CSE on the intelligence side, as is CSIS, both coordinated under Public Safety.
Does Public Safety have the authority, and what are its links to Homeland Security in the United States? Are there regular meetings? Is there a bilateral committee? You can think about a variety of forms, for example, in the maritime warning world, where there are these developments, not just with the United States but also with the Five Eyes community.
I think it's important to look at those things in detail, such as whether we are structured right, particularly because the Internet cyberworld knows no borders. Information coming into Canada comes into the United States. It flows in patterns I don't know about or understand, really. Critical infrastructure is integrated with that in the United States, so we have a common interest as a function of our close relation of integration with the United States.
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Thank you. I have a remaining one minute or so.
I'm just amazed that North America has such superiority in information technology, and obviously we have to work on improving that. Militarily, with our allies—and this is for Dr. Fergusson—we also have tremendous superiority. I'm amazed to see the footage out of Ukraine, with Russia's superior technology being shot down by relatively cheap technology like MANPADS and Javelins.
What I'm wondering, though, is on the missing piece, economic security. It seems that we have a gaping hole when Europe is completely dependent upon oil and gas from Russia, and copper and palladium.
What do you think the government could have been doing better for the last 20 years in this country—multiple governments—to address that economic insecurity?
My question will be for Dr. Fergusson.
In our world, of course, we're becoming evermore interconnected electronically. That includes domestic and international communications. To get from A to B, our messages end up getting routed all over the place and in-between.
The core functionality that makes us secure is encryption. One of the key aspects of encryption are that at some point there will be asymmetric encryption involved there. We know that asymmetric encryption has a public part of it and a secret part of it, and we know the secret part can be brute force, if the adversary has enough time and willingness to do so.
State actors such as Russia, China and so forth have possession of massive computing facilities, with massive parallel processing. I'm wondering what we can do to change our communications infrastructure to protect our communications security and our encryption.
That's a big question, and you have a minute and a half.
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I can only comment in terms of the defence side, and keeping closed, highly encrypted and the most advanced encrypted systems in the intelligence and the defence world.
Again, it's not necessarily the case that government or Defence are going to let anyone know when they get hacked and these systems are actually penetrated. However, this is an interactive process—not so much for Canada, but certainly for our allies besides the United States, so there's always the capability that we retaliate. This is nothing new. This is what we used to call “electronic and counter-electronic warfare”. This is something that's gone on. It's become more sophisticated and it's become quicker because of the nature of the technological piece and the changes that have occurred.
There's no 100% guarantee, but certainly ensuring that you know when you get hacked is the most important thing. The biggest danger is not the hacking, but the implanting of viruses, such as the one planted in the Iranian nuclear system years ago, and—
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We never know if we're ready.
At the University of Calgary we were hacked with ransomware even though we have computer science and individuals that do.... We weren't prepared for that. In fact, our entire computer system was shut down.
Part of the problem is that until we know the level of what's coming in...what that requires is a very well-funded counter-cyberwarfare capability.
Be it the CSE or whomever you're giving that to, it's that grungy day-to-day.... Make sure that you have the best computer analysts that are able to look at it and constantly be re-evaluating. It's dull. It can't be shared, so people like me, Dr. Kitchen and Dr. Fergusson won't know how good or weak it is, but it's something that the government needs to be totally on top of.
Very quickly, this is for Dr. Kitchen, on the disinformation subject.
There have been a lot of parallels between this study and our study into ideologically motivated violent extremism and the way major companies, social media companies and companies like Amazon, can be exploited using their algorithms. Even in some cases like Amazon, their platforms are used to sell hateful propaganda. The potential exists for a determined state actor to take advantage of that.
If not through censorship—I think there's an argument to be made to remove untrue information—in what ways can the Canadian government effectively make sure that social media companies are not going to be vulnerable to these types of attacks?
Thank you to the witnesses for being here today.
I'd like to direct my first question to Mr. Fergusson and Mr. Huebert.
I was trying to frantically take notes as both of you were talking. I was finding it very interesting and informative. We don't have time to have an open-floor debate here for a long time. I'd like to have answers on both of these from both of you, please.
Mr. Fergusson, you stated that disinformation is overblown, exaggerated and doesn't pose a real threat. That's as close to a quote as I could scribble at the time.
Mr. Huebert, I took from some of your quotes that you are very concerned about Russia's social media and the weaponization of social media.
I'm sensing a bit of a difference there. Perhaps I could get some clarification, first from Mr. Fergusson, on the threat seen by that and then Mr. Huebert after him, please.
Thank you, Mr. Chair.
On behalf of members of the committee, and indeed on behalf of all parliamentarians, I would like to thank the witnesses. Collectively, you have literally decades of experience and a very deep understanding of the complexities of these issues. We're very grateful that you have shared your expertise and your insights with us this morning.
Colleagues, we'll now take a short, five-minute break to change panels, then we will resume the meeting.
For those who leave now, thank you so much for being a part of this.
Colleagues, we'll see you in about five minutes.
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Colleagues, I now call the meeting back to order. If you could take your seats, I will assume everybody is where they are supposed to be.
With us this hour by video conference is Dr. Ahmed Al-Rawi, assistant professor, Simon Fraser University. I would also like to welcome Dr. Alexander Cooley, Claire Tow professor of political science, Bernard College, and academy adjunct faculty at Chatham House; and Dr. David Perry, president, Canadian Global Affairs Institute.
There will be up to five minutes for opening remarks from our guests, after which we will have two rounds of questions. I'll begin by inviting Dr. Al-Rawi to make an opening statement of up to five minutes.
Sir, the floor is yours.
Russian disinformation in Canada has been an ongoing issue. The Russian government has an ongoing interest in interfering in Canadian politics using a variety of information operations, propaganda and disinformation.
Using publicly available datasets released a few years ago by Facebook and Twitter, I found that Russian trolls were the most invested in targeting Canada, far more than Iranian and other state-run trolls from China and Saudi Arabia were. These information operations were conducted with the use of carefully concealed social media users with the assistance of fake websites as well as news channels like RT, Russia Today and Sputnik.
For example, the Internet research agency, IRA, created fake Facebook pages and purchased ads often targeting Canadians in 2016 and even earlier. Fake websites like peacedata.net that seemed legitimate were also used like to spread favourable messages towards Russia. I also found in 2017 that Russian trolls even promoted a rally in Ottawa against the Liberal government.
In my research, the content analysis of social media messages clearly showed that the ideological position of the Russian government aligned well with far-right groups and individuals in Canada.
In my view, the main reason behind this information operation strategy is to sow division, create tension and confuse people about what is real or fake. For example, the main targets of Russian trolls were Liberals, especially due to their immigration policies, with a focus on attacking and . The second target is related to Canadian Muslims, with emphasis on visible minority MPs followed by other targets on issues like refugees, diversity and multiculturalism.
Today and due to the increasing pressure on traditional social media companies, the public activities of Russian trolls have been relatively curtailed, as there is some scrutiny and general awareness. The same applies to the way Russian state news outlets like RT have been flagged as promoters of disinformation and sometimes banned from operating. However, I personally think that the decision of the CRTC, Canadian Radio-television and Telecommunications Commission, to ban RT remains only symbolic and ineffective, because RT can be viewed in multiple other ways in Canada and elsewhere.
We can see today a different information strategy that uses Russian government diplomatic missions as its main means to spread propaganda. For example, the Russian embassy in Ottawa runs its own Twitter account as well as recent Telegram and VK public channels. The embassy has been active in spreading disinformation and promoting the Russian perspective on the events taking place in Ukraine. Instead of heavily relying on RT or Sputnik, the embassy mostly retweets messages from the Russian foreign affairs ministry and other Russian diplomatic accounts and missions from around the world as well as Russia's foreign allies like China.
Also, the embassy frequently posts statements attacking Canadian officials as well as national news media for what it views as biased attitudes towards the war in Ukraine. Any factual reporting on the war is considered fake news, and the term itself is weaponized by the Russian foreign affairs ministry to serve the interest of Putin's regime.
One of the most troubling features of this disinformation campaign by the Russian government is related to the weaponization of fact-checking practices. In a recent tweet, the embassy in Ottawa announced the launch of a new website called WarOnFakes.com, which attempts to give credibility to official Russian propaganda. The website allegedly provides fact-checking services with regard to the war in Ukraine and is offered in five languages: English, French, Spanish, Arabic and Chinese, denoting that the main targeted groups are non-Russian speaking audiences.
Finally, the embassy is trying to create a direct link with the Canadian public that cannot be blocked by the CRTC. For example, the embassy often sends direct messages to Canadians via its Telegram channel and Twitter account. In fact, more than 3,000 Twitter users who retweeted recent messages from the embassy are found to be Canadian users who were further spreading these messages.
Though the official and public focus has been on banning RT and Sputnik news channels, the reality is that Russian embassies are creating their own information ecosystem with the help of fake fact-checking websites like WarOnFakes.
The official Russian disinformation has evolved today to heavily rely on multiple sources, including the social media outlets of these diplomatic missions—
:
Thank you very much, Mr. Chair. It's an honour to be able to address the committee.
I would like to focus my remarks on two distinct groups of global and transnational networks that the war has spotlighted and that I believe reverberate back into western societies, Canada included. They also pose some significant policy challenges.
The first you will have certainly heard of and deliberated about, and that is the group of oligarchs. We have seen Russian oligarchs targeted with sanctions by the U.K., Canada, the EU and the U.S. Here, we have acknowledged in some ways that a bet that we made a long time ago has failed, and that is the idea that if oligarchs had access to western stock markets and boardrooms and philanthropic types of circles, then their behaviour would be moderated and somehow they could influence the Kremlin itself into moderation.
We face two challenges with the oligarchs going forward. One is going after their assets and freezing them, and the other one is their reputations. In both of these areas, we also have to contend with service professionals who work here in the west, in the U.K., in the U.S. and in Canada, who enable both of these processes. They take their money, put them into luxury real estate, purchase shell companies and hide them in complex networks of bank accounts, as well as the PR agencies and the reputation management firms and lobbyists who try to recast them, not as politically exposed persons with links to the Kremlin but rather as global philanthropists. This is a challenge across all western societies.
The second group perhaps is less on your radar, so I will focus a little more time on them. That is this emerging community of new Russian exiles that we see the war has created. Certainly, we have seen a steady stream of opposition and journalists go out of Russia during Vladimir Putin's increasingly authoritarian reign, but the dislocations of the last month are truly striking. I would focus on three distinct groups here.
First, hundreds of journalists are fleeing Russia. They are setting up their own networks and channels. We already have a number of distinct Russian independent media outlets that operate from abroad, from the Baltic states or via Telegram channels. I believe they should be supported and openly encouraged because they're the only source of Russian-language independent media out there.
Second, tens of thousands of IT workers, with 50 to 70 this month, possibly up to another 70 next month, have fled the country. They are in places like Georgia, Armenia or Uzbekistan. As the Russian government has sanctioned big tech and declared Facebook undesirable, you have seen a flight of qualified IT workers outside of the country too.
The third group would be hundreds of academics and think tank analysts who have also left the country, who do not want to face the consequences of 15 years in prison for calling out this war. They're also exiled in places like eastern Europe and Istanbul, and they are also looking for new types of affiliations and academic homes.
My suggestion to the committee here is to think about strategies to enhance and strengthen these new networks of exiles as they try to promote independent thought and affect, as much as they can from outside, the disinformation propaganda within the country, and to think about what kinds of policies can be adopted to sort of make us a force multiplier as the Kremlin tries to decouple from the west, to ensure that these independent and critical voices can be encouraged from outside of the country.
:
Thank you, Mr. Chair and members of the committee, for the invitation to speak today.
The horrific events we're watching unfold in Ukraine are demonstrating that Russia is prepared to employ its modernized military without provocation in ways that are fundamentally anathema to Canadian interests and values, and that we in Canada find difficult to comprehend.
In response, we have moved with urgency and ingenuity to help Ukraine defend itself and deter further Russian aggression in Europe by strengthening eastern Europe's defences. We should act with similar urgency and ingenuity to ensure that Canada and North America are better defended against potential Russian aggression closer to home. Russia is challenging Canadian and western interests in multiple places around the world and with many different means, including cyber and disinformation activities.
In my comments today, I will focus on the impact of Russia's military modernization over the last two decades, and the increased threat it poses to Canada, the United States and North America. Russian aircraft, ships and submarines can now carry advanced cruise missiles that could accurately hit targets in North America at long ranges, as can other long-range Russian missiles, including hypersonic glide vehicles.
We cannot at present detect and track these threats well enough, nor can we prevent them from damaging targets here in Canada. We need to quickly improve our ability to do both. As a result of the Canada First defence strategy in 2008, and “Strong, Secure, Engaged” in 2017, Canada has been progressively improving our ability to defend Canada over time, including through the purchase of a fleet of modern fighter aircraft, aerial refuelling tankers, surveillance platforms and a modern naval fleet.
I was happy to hear in the last several weeks that the government is moving to further address the defence of the continent through the modernization of NORAD and continental defence. This will presumably involve a new policy framework and a combination of new equipment, the people to operate it, new or enhanced infrastructure training and the other support required to turn that equipment and those people into a useful military capability.
Let me offer some suggestions now for how we can turn this long-evolving commitment to act with our American allies to strengthen the defence of the continent into concrete action, by focusing on the equipment procurement needed to make that happen. However, some of these elements, I think, are applicable to the other activities we might want to consider.
First, defending Canada must be a priority of government. Successive governments have been improving our ability to defend Canada over the last decades and we have been discussing the modernization of continental defence for years, but those efforts have not moved ahead with the urgency required.
As a result, the pace of implementation has fallen short of expectations. Money has gone unspent year after year, and needed equipment projects have been delayed. The war in Ukraine is demonstrating the importance of having a capable modern military at the moment, when Russia or any other military power precipitates an international crisis, not when we in Canada can get around to doing it.
We need to continue implementing “Strong, Secure, Engaged” and move forward on the modernization of continental defence with urgency we have not seen recently. Doing so will require that this be made a top priority of the government, set by the and cabinet and clearly communicated throughout the Government of Canada and all of its department and agencies.
Second, a bigger defence budget is needed now. Canada's current defence spending plans are insufficient to deal with the threats posed by Russia and other powers like China. Our military, like everyone else's, is facing historically high inflation pressures that are exacerbated by procurement delays. We also have lingering maintenance and infrastructure deficits, as well as personnel shortfalls.
Looking forward, continental defence is an unfunded liability that the 2022 budget must address. Beyond our immediate spending requirements, how much we spend on defence sends a signal to both allies and adversaries of our commitment to our own defence, as well as to international peace and security more broadly. NATO's 2% of GDP spending target is an imperfect measures of allies' contributions to collective defence, but it is one that all allies, including Canada, agreed to meet. If we remain unprepared to reach our alliance spending targets, we should be prepared for our allies and adversaries to question our commitment to defence and international peace and security.
Third, and finally, more money is required, but more capacity is needed to actually use it. Canada is in the middle of the largest defence recapitalization effort since the Korean War. This is in large part because we're making up for lost time during the decade and a half following the end of the Cold War, when we invested insufficiently in our forces.
Many of the key combat fleets we operate today, including fighters and frigates, were purchased in the 1980s—which is the last time period when we spent at a 2% of GDP level—and those assets should have been replaced years ago. Today, we're trying to make up for lost time, using a procurement workforce that was cut in half in the 1990s and never fully rebuilt.
Moving our military modernization forward faster will require an increase in the procurement system's capacity, because we have too few people with the right skills at present to manage the projects that are already funded, never mind what may come this Thursday with the additional budget dollars.
Thank you, Mr. Chair.
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Historically, the Russian trolls have been very much invested in supporting the far right in different countries. It's not only in Canada, but also in the U.S. and in many places in Europe. The reason is definitely to create tension.
There is a term called “agitainment”, which means making people really agitated, but at the same time entertained. That is done using, for example, funny memes and funny messages, but they are very much militant, aggressive and often racist.
You can see a pattern. This pattern shows that the Russian trolls usually align themselves with extremes and sometimes even with the far left.
That's the strategy in general. Often the targets will be the minority groups, especially refugees and immigrants in different countries. The focus sometimes will be on the Netherlands or in the U.S.A., but that will be the main issue.
I hope I answered your question. Did you want me to focus on today?
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Thank you, Dr. Al-Rawi.
My next question really is for you, but I would also like Dr. Cooley to weigh in once you're done,.
We had seen a lot of the impact of Russian misinformation in the lead-up to January 6. On January 6 in the United States, there were clear links and support for what was happening with the QAnon movement. There was a very successful attempt by Russian bots to try to tie what happened on January 6 to antifa. Evidence in the January 6 reports shows that there was a pro-Trump effort on the part of Russian bots. Harvard Law School Professor Yochai Benkler said that the primary goal of Russian propaganda is to “create a world where nothing is true and everything is possible”.
I'd love to hear your thoughts on the impact on Canada and whether or not Canada needs to worry about those trends we saw in the January 6 uprising in the U.S.
I'd like Dr. Cooley to weigh in on that one once you're done, sir.
I thank the witnesses for being here.
Mr. Al‑Rawi, I'm going to take advantage of your expertise in social media, communication and disinformation to ask you a few questions. I would like to know what influence you think Russian disinformation has on the population of Canada.
We know that several means are used, for example misleading claims, manipulated photos and conspiracy theories. We know that this is used a lot in social media and that this may have been exacerbated not only by the COVID‑19 crisis and the rise of the anti-vaccine or anti-system movements, but also by what is happening in Ukraine.
What is the influence of this phenomenon and what could the consequences be?
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In terms of the actual impact of disinformation on the population, it's a really difficult question to answer because I don't think anyone has quantified that or fully understood this kind of influence. However, there are indications of the impact of disinformation on Canadians. For example, we saw some kind of violence against the Ukrainian diaspora community in Canada, and this is a clear indication or evidence of the influence of Russian disinformation—or if you want to call it propaganda—on certain communities.
If you look outside Canada, I'm seeing very worrying signs about the outreach of Russian disinformation. For example, when I looked at Arabic language disinformation spread by the Russian government on social media, I was really [Technical difficulty—Editor] so widespread and so overreaching in so many places in the Middle East.
Our problem here is that we're mostly focused on English and French in Canada. We forget that we have millions of people who do not only speak these languages; they speak other languages. I think this is a major gap in our understanding of the real influence of Russian disinformation on our diaspora communities. There is a very direct connection, but we miss a lot. These are all gaps in our understanding, unfortunately, but there are clear indications that a lot of people were influenced.
We also have some people who are replicating this kind of disinformation. One example is Global Research, which is a so-called news organization based in Montreal that is only echoing Putin's propaganda on its website.
I need to explain why banning RT, as I mentioned in my speech, might not be fully effective. The reason is that RT could be viewed in different ways—through TV apps, the Internet and so on. I think if anyone wants to view RT, it's there, and I don't think it's the only source.
As I said in my speech, the Russian government is now using its own diplomatic missions to spread disinformation using these fake websites and so on. They are trying to create another information source because the focus has been on banning RT, and now they are looking at producing more disinformation from other places.
I think the best way to protect Canadians from this kind of disinformation is by debunking, by fact-checking, anything that is related to Canada or Canadians in relation to the war on Ukraine.
We cannot catch up with what the Russian government and its allies are doing. It's really hard to do so unless, of course, there is some kind of collaboration between Canada and other countries, but what we can do is debunk what is related to us so that we can better protect Canadians, especially if something is related to what happens inside Canada or within the diaspora community living in Canada.
The presence of exiled Russian media is not new; it's just being magnified now because of this sort of conflict. We've had very effective Russian investigative reporters doing work on Putin's corruption, holding investigations of Yevgeny Prigozhin and what he's been doing in Africa. Dossier and Proekt, these organizations that are based overseas expose some of the most devastating inner secrets. In fact, a New York Times reporter, when he reported on Prigozhin, had much of the same information that these Russian exile reporters reported months before.
First of all, we can support them financially. Groups like Meduza, like Nexta—let's not leave Belarus out of here—have been so key in mobilizing against Lukashenko. Certainly, TV Rain, which is now shut down in Russia and is operating from outside, is one.
We have to anticipate what's going to be, at some point, the Russian reaction to this, which is to engage in more transnational repression. I will say that transnational repression is the kind of systematic targeting of political opponents, journalism, civil society, business community, of co-nationals overseas. Actually, this use of disinformation against diaspora communities is one aspect of this. It could also be actual attempts at assassination, rendition, coercion, or intimidation of family members.
The Russians are going to have a real problem because they're going to see all of these communities increasingly engaged to break down this disinformation wall and they are likely to target them. We need to be aware of how we can protect them, not only by supporting them, but also by realizing the status that these exiles and diasporas have as communities of interest of the crimes.
You're always welcome to send the committee a submission if you want to go into further detail on some of the specifics. I would invite you to do that.
I have a final question for Mr. David Perry.
Our committee's mandate is very much on national security and public safety within the borders of Canada. I don't want to get caught up in the military side of things, but when you look at our cybersecurity and the role that CSE plays under National Defence, but also CSIS and the RCMP under Public Safety Canada, do you have recommendations as to whether Canada needs a way to reorganize how those agencies functions?
Is there anything pertinent that this committee can make as a recommendation to the Government of Canada?
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I think it's fundamental because that's the way that we basically develop our ability to respond, whether or not that's for defence specifically or many of the other aspects of national security. You certainly need good human capital, but, fundamentally, those people need tools, and the procurement system is the way that we give them the tools to do their jobs, whether these are airplanes, ships or computer systems.
There's a whole range of issues with our procurement system, but I think, fundamentally, to the point of my opening remarks, we need to decide how important this is to us. Is procuring this type of equipment and gaining this kind of capability—again, whether it's for defence or other agencies in the national security community—something that matters to us? If so, how much relative to all of the many other priorities of government? That's part one.
Part two is that we need to calibrate better what we're doing with the workforce and the amount of work required to do it against the human capital available to us. You need resources, both financial and human, to get all of this done, and I don't think that match has been calibrated appropriately for about a decade and a half now. Until we fix that, we can't really expect to see much of a different result.
To be fair, successive governments have increased how much we are spending on this kind of procurement, and that's gone up progressively over the last 15 years. We're now spending more money on this than we have at any point, by my math, since basically the Korean War, if you adjust for inflation. The problem, though, is that we took a decade and a half off doing any of this, so the requirements to catch back up to a status quo level are far in excess of what they would have been if we had stuck to a regular spending pattern over time.
Beyond that, there's a whole number of other issues with the procurement system, from conflicting government priorities and some of the institutional structure, but I'll stop there.
A few years ago, a few [Technical difficulty—Editor] in United States and elsewhere were de-platformed from mainstream social media, like Facebook and Twitter, including former President Trump and many conspiracy theorists like Alex Jones and so on. This actually led to what they call a “migration” to new, alternative outlets, including the ones you mentioned, Telegram, Discord, and a few other ones. Some of them unfortunately are even based in Canada. What we have today is platforms that are dominated by conspiracy theories and disinformation.
In our study about the convoy protest, we found that Twitter contained very few conspiracies in relation to the protest and that the dominant discourses or conspiracies were actually elsewhere, specifically on Telegram.
The major problem I am seeing is that the big search engines like Google have indexed Telegram. When I search for a message posted by Alex Jones on Telegram, I can't actually find it. I think that's the major problem. I do not think we can moderate these small platforms because it's like playing whack-a-mole—if you try to silence one of them, four others will emerge, because this is a thriving business for them. They are actually profiting by probably billions of dollars, not millions.
I don't think there is a way to completely stop these smaller social media platforms. What we can do is pressure the big search engines to index these sites less so that searching for a specific comment will be hard.
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It would be national security, yes. Thank you for that.
What we had prior to the war was the compartmentalization of issues into two streams. One was that we used to think about national security issues in terms of classic objectives and foreign policy. The other one was sort of the realm of domestic politics. Or when we talked about kleptocracy or counter-kleptocracy, that was very much viewed as sort of a niche governance issue. Now we've seen how the two relate to each other.
The question isn't just about the specific oligarchs to go after, who have ties to the Kremlin, like Abramovich or Usmanov or Sechin or Deripaska; it's rather about looking at our own professional industries. How is it that we have industries like real estate brokers, lawyers, shell company providers and reputation management firms that perfectly legally can offer these services, which all amount to the same thing—anonymizing the source of this wealth in a manner that is legal and turning it into property or social capital that enhances the status and standing of these oligarchs?
That's not just a Russian oligarch—
That completes the time that's available and then a bit more.
On the committee's behalf, I would like to thank the witnesses for a fascinating hour and change. There was a very complex and important set of questions and subjects.
With that, I would seek permission of the committee to adjourn the meeting.
Some hon. members: Agreed.
The Chair: I think I have it.
Witnesses, thank you so much for your time and your insights.
We'll see everybody on Thursday morning.
This meeting is now adjourned.