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I call this meeting to order.
Welcome to meeting No. 88 of the House of Commons Standing Committee on Agriculture and Agri-food.
I will start with a few reminders. Today’s meeting is taking place in a hybrid format. The proceedings will be made available via the House of Commons website. Just so you are aware, the webcast will always show the person speaking, rather than the entirety of the committee. Needless to say, dear colleagues,screenshots or taking photos of your screen is not permitted.
I'd like to begin by noting the presence today of Mr. Zuberi, who will be replacing Mr. Carr, and Mr. Boulerice, with whom Mr. MacGregor may perhaps be sharing his speaking time. Welcome to the committee.
Pursuant to Standing Order 108(2) and the motion adopted by the committee on Thursday October 19, 2023, the committee resume its study of efforts to stabilize food prices.
I would now like to welcome the first witness with us today, Mr. Eric La Flèche, President and Chief Executive Officer of Metro Inc.
Thank you very much for being here in person,Mr. La Flèche. You have five minutes for your opening address.
Good afternoon, ladies and gentlemen.
At Metro, we are very concerned about the impact of rising food prices on our customers. Needless to say, we are very much mindful of this situation.
That's why we take steps every day to give our customers the best possible value, in response to their various and constantly changing needs. Our customers expect no less from us.
[English]
Across all our banners, our teams work tirelessly to deliver the best possible value to our customers with competitive pricing, our full range of private label products, efficient weekly promotions and our loyalty programs.
Every week, we offer promotions on more than 10,000 products across our food banners, generating significant savings for our customers on one-third of our inventory. This is not a new practice, but rather how we continue to earn and gain long-term customer loyalty.
[Translation]
As a publicly-traded company, Metro is in competition every day for customers, talent, and capital in an open and highly competitive market.
Customers are central to every decision our companies make under each of our banners, and in the 975 grocery stores in our network. That's why our business strategies have generated an increase in market share over the years, and particularly in recent months. It shows that we have earned the confidence of Canadians.
[English]
By now, I hope everyone in this room knows—and experts overwhelmingly agree—that global market forces far outside the control of grocers are driving food price inflation.
According to Statistics Canada, food prices have stabilized over the past few months while food price inflation has steadily declined over the past six months. Moreover, food inflation in Canada continues to be the second-lowest amongst G7 countries and has been since September 2022.
Metro's fourth quarter fiscal 2023 results show that our internal food basket inflation decelerated to 5.5%, which is approximately 2% lower than the food inflation reported by Statistics Canada. This is a key metric of customers' actual behaviour, which we have been monitoring for years.
In short, our efforts are having an impact and food prices have stabilized, but price stabilization is not simply achieved overnight nor is it the exclusive responsibility of grocers. Metro stands at the end of a very long supply chain that continues to experience instability. We are already facing pressure for cost increases in the new year, so all players must remain actively engaged.
[Translation]
The fact is that we work in an industry that has the lowest profit margin in Canada, at under 5%.
We have to deal with tens of thousands of price increases from our suppliers every year, but we do so as gradually as possible, absorbing some of the costs and working tirelessly every day to provide the best possible value.
[English]
In our highly competitive industry, Metro fights hard every day to earn our customers' business, trust and loyalty. That's why, when I met with three months ago, I committed that our team would continue to work to deliver the best value possible to help our customers because that's what our customers demand of us.
Secondly, to continue to enhance consumer trust and ensure a more resilient supply chain, I committed that Metro would adopt the industry-led grocery code of conduct once it's finalized.
[Translation]
Our team played a leading role in developing the code of conduct, and we are convinced that the buy-in of all our grocers and suppliers is essential to its success.
We made these commitments to the minister and the government, but in particular to the Canadians who choose to shop with us, and we will continue to meet these commitments every day.
[English]
Thank you. I look forward to your questions.
Thank you, Mr. La Flèche, for being with us today. You just mentioned in your opening statement that you are in favour of the grocery code of conduct. Thank you for being a part of that, because I know it will have a very good effect on the relationships between our suppliers and our grocers.
Mr. La Flèche, you mentioned that the summoned you to Ottawa. You've said publicly that you've given the government a list of recommendations. What specific recommendations did you ask the government to initiate? How many of these recommendations have been acted upon?
The government promised Canadians it would lower prices for consumers at the grocery store by Thanksgiving. They broke that promise.
We've heard in the media that stores like yours are going to put a pause on increasing the prices of goods right now. That's standard practice, as I understand, through the holiday season. I think you said publicly that you're going to keep that into the new year. Once that price freeze expires, what will consumers see at the grocery store? Can they count on there being higher prices, once the reductions or freezes are off? You mentioned in your opening remarks that suppliers have been asking for increases, because the cost of goods is going up on their side of things when they supply grocery stores.
Can we expect price increases in the new year, once the freeze is finished?
Good afternoon, Mr.La Flèche. Thank you for being here in person.
[English]
I don't speak French very well, so I will switch to English.
I want to thank you for being here.
We have some concerns about Metro's level of enthusiasm for the efforts our government is making to try to stabilize food prices.
First, I want to correct something for the record: Our government never said that we were going to lower grocery prices by Thanksgiving. Rather, we were working to stabilize them.
However, you expressed some concerns then about whether or not this would work. You repeated that today. I must say that I was disappointed when I saw Metro's submission to the committee of your plan to try to take action on this—without your going into details, because we all know it's confidential. It was not very robust. Let's put it that way, again.
I feel that you question the government's role in meeting with the heads of grocery chains to try to address this problem, which is of great concern. We realize, as many do, that there are global supply chain factors causing this problem. When Canadians are suffering so acutely and grocery retail profits—not margins but absolute profits—are increasing, we feel that trying to work with the grocery chains to come up with some solutions is the best way forward, as opposed to imposing things.
I'm wondering why you feel there's nothing that can be done, when other CEOs have said that these efforts have resulted in some positive actions. They are doing things they weren't doing before. Why do you feel this is something that's perhaps not worth the time of Metro?
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Well, that's not exactly what I said.
What I said is that we take the process seriously. As we were before, and as we continue to be today, we're committed to delivering value to our customers. That's our job. That's what we're paid to do. If we don't do that, we lose customers. If we lose business, it's not good for us.
We made two commitments: delivering value and signing the code. We've lived by them.
Our merchandising efforts are in place in all of our stores, every week and every month. We have programs that need to resonate with customers. We have taken a lot of measures. We have—
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Thank you very much, Mr. Chair.
Thank you very much, Mr. La Flèche, for having made yourself available to us a second time.
I'd like to continue on the same topic. The minister, Mr. Champagne, implied that the meeting with grocery store heads had been productive.
Can you tell us exactly what more you have done since this meeting? Have you, for example, made any changes to your practices following the meeting with the minister?
You've been saying from the outset that you are continuing to take action, and I understand that, but has anything actually changed?
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So the goal of the code is also to increase transparency within the industry and in relations between the various players.
The last time you appeared before the committee with a number of other grocery chain heads, you all said, when discussing your profit margins, that the numbers didn't represent your profit margin on your grocery sales, and that your net profit margin had remained the same. When we asked you to break down your profits, you all said that we couldn't have those numbers because your firms were in competition with one another. I asked you, and the others, if you were going to provide these figures to the Competition Bureau so that they could study them, and everyone said yes. Feel free to correct me if I'm wrong, but I'm pretty sure I've got that right.
However, in the first few pages of the report that the Competition Bureau published afterwards, it complained that it hadn't received all the figures.
Did your company provide the requested figures?
In any event, it's being worked on now. There's a bill that would increase the powers of the Competition Bureau to allow it to force companies to provide figures. So that shouldn't happen again.
I'd like to ask you an additional question. In the same bill, there is an attempt to identify the extent to which competition in the sector could be increased, for example by encouraging the entry of new companies.
How would your company view potentially increased competition in the grocery chain sector? Would you be in favour of that?
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Thank you Mr. MacGregor
Thank you Mr. Chair.
Mr. La Flèche, thank you for being with us today to answer our questions.
A few weeks ago, the minister, Mr. Champagne, took a great deal of pride in saying that he had summoned you to Ottawa to tell you to stabilize prices or make an effort to help people struggling with the rising price of food.
A few weeks later, you gave an interview on TVA in which you admitted rather frankly that it had not had any impact on your practices, prices, or discounts. It was around Thanksgiving and turkey was on sale, just as it is every year, and you pointed that out.
If this meeting with Mr. Champagne hadn't had any impact, and people hadn't benefited in any way, is it because the minister was not very convincing or because he didn't have the authority to compel you?
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Thank you very much, Mr. Chair.
Thank you, Mr. La Flèche, for being here with us today.
My colleague asked this question earlier on, but I just want to dive a little deeper into it. You said in the Quebec media that when you met with the Prime Minister or the the grocery CEOs provided the government with a list of recommendations on steps that the Liberal government could take to try to help reduce food costs and be a partner in this effort. However, you said that the government has not followed through on those recommendations.
I believe you said that in answer to my colleague, but if I'm incorrect, please correct me. Can you tell us specifically what recommendations you suggested to the Liberal government on steps to take to help reduce food costs?
What would be the impact, as my colleague had asked you earlier, of the plastics ban? This isn't a matter of increased costs. One other consequence of this from what we understand is that a number of items would no longer be available. United States' produce companies, for example, would refuse to meet these new regulations and would just no longer export to Canada. I'm thinking of bagged salads, peppers, cucumbers, those types of things.
Have you done an assessment of that and what the consequences of it would be in terms of your not being able to bring in produce from the United States as a result of the new plastics ban? Again, this isn't the single-use plastics; this is plastics for fresh produce.
Mr. La Flèche, I want to start where my colleague ended. We've had over the past two or three years some extreme climate changes and we're starting to see the general public being affected in many different ways, including our farmers, producers and manufacturers, whether it be by supply chain issues or weather, what have you.
If initiatives are put in place to help reduce climate change and our GHG emissions and so on, and if an organization as big as Metro didn't apply or at least try, would that have any effect on your business?
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Thank you very much, Mr. Chair.
Mr. La Flèche, I'd like to return to the code.
Loblaws is not at the negotiating table for the quote. When the Loblaws representatives came and testified before the committee, they told us that they felt represented by a retail organization, and by you, who were at the negotiating table.
Did you feel that you are representing Loblaws at the negotiating table?
According to you, the code won't have any impact on prices. And yet, when the United Kingdom and Australia introduced one, it had a medium-term impact on prices. So we can at least hope that inflation might moderate somewhat from where we are right now.
If you think the code won't have an impact on prices, why did you tell the minister, Mr. Champagne, that you would treat that as a commitment for controlling prices? I just want to understand what you said.
Mr. La Flèche, the situation is very difficult in some neighbourhoods, including La Petite-Patrie, which I represent. The other day I attended a spaghetti dinner organized by people in the neighbourhood to raise funds on behalf of the local food bank. Every month this year, 870,000 Quebeckers went to food banks, which means one out of every 10 people. That's an increase of 30% over 2022. It's terrible.
Today, we are telling you that your practices haven't changed since the meeting with the minister, Mr. Champagne, that the code of conduct will not lead to transparency and although it might perhaps boost consumer confidence, it won't have any impact on prices.
From that standpoint, how are people who are struggling going to be able to keep hoping that they'll be able to feed themselves properly?
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I'll start by saying that this gap is shrinking. Food inflation is now much closer to the overall inflation rate.
There was certainly a gap. But then inflation is a world-wide phenomenon. It's attributable to global factors like the war in Ukraine, the price of wheat, the price of basic products, energy costs, labour shortages and so on. They are known factors that have created food inflation around the world.
Canada is not doing as badly as all that. It's too expensive and it hurts, as we know. Canada nevertheless has the second-lowest inflation rate among the G‑7 countries, after the United States. It's doing much better than many European countries.
We are doing everything we can to give our customers the best possible value, but our input costs have increased significantly over the past two years and our profit margins haven't increased at all. I think it's important to point that out. Our sales and our profits did in fact increase as inflation was growing, but our profit margin percentage did not increase.
Mr. La Flèche,thank you very much for coming today.
My first question is about the ban on certain plastics. A few of my colleagues raised that issue earlier. It's important to know that it will have a considerable impact on fruit and vegetable imports. The concrete example given was plastic-wrapped cucumbers imported into Quebec and Ontario out of season. Their shelf life decreases by at least six days if they're not wrapped.
I'd like your opinion on what impact the plastic packaging ban will have on the shelf life of vegetables. If it decreases by six days, there will be a lot of food wastage. I would also expect that prices would rise.
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Thank you very much, Mr. Chair.
Mr. La Flèche, I'd like to thank you for having agreed to testify before the committee once again. I hope that we'll be able to leave you alone afterwards, at least until the end of this session. For the next Parliament, though, we might decide otherwise.
One of the reasons we are looking into this issue, and previously heard from Metro and its four major competitors, is that they represent an oligopoly. In principle, these five major food retailers share 80% of the market.
I'd like you to explain whether it's a common practice for the industry to announce a price freeze in November. According to Mr. Sylvain Charlebois, the five major players in the industry always announce a price freeze in November.
Has Metro's behaviour changed? At a previous meeting, one of your competitors told us that it would normally announce a price freeze for certain products, but that this time, the price freeze applied to additional products.
I'm trying to understand why the five major retailers announce a price freeze in November.
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I can't speak for the others, but at Metro, we require our suppliers not to introduce any price increases during a specified period. We will not accept any price increases from our suppliers between November 1 and February 1, more or less. It's a long-standing practice at Metro. I can't speak for the others, but I know that other companies do this as well. However, I don't know which of them do, or the periods for which they do so.
It's because we are busy with things other than negotiating with our suppliers during this period. We want to provide good service to our customers, at the lowest possible prices, and to ensure that our stores are ready for the holiday season, which is a busy time. As I said, it's a long-standing practice at Metro.
Because we won't accept price increases from our suppliers during this period, prices remain stable in our stores, not for products usually found around the store perimeter, like fruit, vegetables and meat, which change every week, but for dry goods. That's good news for our customers, because it keeps the cost of the food basket more stable.
Once again, I would like to welcome the members of the committee.
In the second witness panel this afternoon, we have two representatives of the Association des producteurs maraîchers du Québec: Patrice Léger Bourgoin, its General Manager; and Catherine Lessard, its Deputy Director General. It appears that Ms. Lessard is having some technical difficulty. I hope it can be resolved.
We also have Ron Lemaire, who is President of the Canadian Produce Marketing Association. Mr. Lemaire is also having some technical difficulty, which I hope the technicians can resolve.
[English]
Next, we have from the Centre for Future Work, Jim Stanford, economist and director.
We'll have five minutes for each of the opening remarks.
It's going to have to be Mr. Patrice Léger Bourgoin.
[Translation]
Before that, I would like to take a brief moment to note that Mr. Lehoux' grandson is with us today. His name is Édouard, and I believe he is a high school student.
Good afternoon, Édouard. It's a pleasure to have you with us.
I now turn the floor over to Patrice Léger Bourgoin for five minutes.
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Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for having us here today.
Any attempt to improve food price predictability is considered a risky business at the best of times. However, the extraordinary geopolitical, economic and climatic circumstances we're experiencing these days—including the wars in Ukraine and Israel, sustained interest rate increases and climate events that undermine farm production—significantly undermine reasonable predictability in a context of global supply-demand equilibrium.
However, we believe that there are initiatives that can be introduced to support price stabilization efforts, and I will now describe them.
Consolidation has sharply restricted wholesale channels in the past 30 years or so. Since the number of independent grocery stores, affiliated owners, regional brands and co‑operatives has fallen precipitously, this consolidation has forced the industry to reinvent itself by establishing supplier relations strategies based on billing miscellaneous costs and imposing fines and penalties. This approach has inflated the revenues of retail chains in the food industry. It has also substantially increased suppliers' overheads, obviously at consumers' expense. It would have been very difficult to do that if the food trade industry hadn't become a monopoly over the years.
Now that the damage has been done, it's time to apply some remedies to mitigate the effects of that consolidation.
However, let's make one thing clear: consolidation doesn't necessarily mean competitiveness. Even if the sector is extremely competitive, consolidation has an impact on the sector as a whole. It's very important to point that out.
The code of conduct is a good first step toward resolving the power balance between big, publicly traded companies and SMEs, most of which are family operations. We must not allow the two retail chains whose representatives appeared last Thursday to scuttle this promising initiative. What those representatives said was appalling. We can't support those kinds of assumptions.
Access to a stable local market for fresh fruit and vegetable production is essential to ensuring food price stabilization, since it reduces the number of stakeholders and supply chain costs.
The ability of Quebec's fruit and vegetable producers to compete has been undermined to a troubling degree. While the business environment in Canada and Quebec should be comparable to that of our competitors in order to ensure that local businesses are competitive, that's unfortunately not the case. A study that we commissioned last year, and that was funded by Quebec's Ministère de l'Agriculture, des Pêcheries et de l'Alimentation, yielded a shocking finding: the regulatory environment is undermining the ability of Quebec fruit and vegetable producers to compete against their competitors, particularly those in the United States and Mexico.
A favourable regulatory environment for our sector is a decisive factor in businesses' ability to compete. Local products compete directly with imported fruits and vegetables, as Mr. La Flèche said a few moments ago.
The federal and provincial governments must get involved in the reassessment of risk management approaches for fruit and vegetable producers in a climate change context. All stakeholders clearly need to understand their risk management responsibilities. Wholesalers and retailers also face an increasing amount of risk. Governments need to create an environment conducive to investments that increase risk resilience and the ability to adapt and transform in response to climate shocks.
In conclusion, prices in the fruit and vegetable sector can be stabilized through fairer relationships among producers: family SMEs, the major retail chains and the wholesale industry giants. Greater fairness among producer countries engaged in international marketing, in accordance with their respective regulatory burdens, is becoming essential to ensuring our country's food security. It is unacceptable that fruit and vegetable producers are required to manage a disproportionate amount of risk in the current climate change context.
We would now like to offer a few observations.
First, if the five major food chains fail to comply with the code of conduct, we suggest that an initiative be introduced in the next few weeks leading to legislation that would provide a better framework for commercial relations. Lawyers have been in talks on the code of conduct from the get‑go. Once again, we can address the issues together with the legal experts, but we want to emphasize that they've been involved since the discussions began.
Second, we suggest that the government implement the recommendation your committee made in its grocery affordability report, that the reciprocity of standards be respected for imported products. On that point, Mr. La Flèche said that he looks for the best possible price, wherever in the world it may be. We contend that the Canadian government also has a responsibility to ensure food security for consumers by ensuring that Canadian standards are met for both local and imported products.
We would also like to see the government launch an incentive and support program for technological innovation and automation, as stated in one of the recommendations in that report.
Lastly, we recommend that the government review agricultural risk management programs in partnership with the industry and the Government of Quebec.
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Good evening, Mr. Chair, and committee members.
On behalf of the Canadian Produce Marketing Association, I want to thank the committee for the opportunity to talk about food prices in Canada.
CPMA represents over 830 companies that are growing, packing, shipping and selling fresh fruit and vegetables in Canada, which drives $15 billion within the industry and across the country.
We are a unique entity that addresses the entire food system and the complexity of how fresh produce moves—
As noted by previous witnesses, there have been excessive cost pressures on both the supply chain and the consumer. While the produce industry is seeing market improvements, we are still seeing parts of our system influenced by global markets and high-cost centres. As we saw last week, the 14th edition of Canada’s food cost report by leading Canadian universities shows projected increases to vegetables and other foods for 2024.
It is critical to understand that the food system is complicated. There are no singular solutions to drive down food prices. Labour costs across the supply chain continue to rise, production inputs remain high, and ongoing high interest rates, a high cost of borrowing and the regulatory burden all play a factor in business. The changing climate is also an ongoing issue. The cost of adjusting our supply chains to meet this challenge is extremely important to recognize.
As some on the committee are aware, I chair a global coalition of fresh fruits and vegetables that is focused on addressing supply chain issues. Earlier this year, we surveyed industry members on the global impact of costs to their business. The numbers are dramatic. While these numbers are improving, they tell a complex story of why Canadians are paying more for their fruits and vegetables. This is what we reported in Canada—packaging up 13%, labour costs up 18%, plant material costs up 16%, cost of crop production inputs up 21%, energy costs on average up 24%, and machinery and equipment up 20%. While retail wasn't included in this survey, I have had conversations with retailers in Canada. Costs in their operations are up as well.
While we are seeing food inflation slowly decline, these impacts continue on both consumers and our sector. Our concern now is declining fruit and vegetable consumption. In Q4 of 2023, we are seeing Canadians' daily consumption drop by a serving. If this continues, our data shows an increased cost of approximately $1 billion annually to our health care system.
According to our numbers, we know that fresh produce typically moves in the opposite direction of the consumer price index, or CPI, and not inflation specifically. When the CPI dropped in October, I would have expected consumption to increase, but it was not the case. Consumers are still reducing consumption, and this is a concern. I think Mr. MacGregor talked earlier at committee about the projected cost of food in 2024 increasing. We are very, very concerned about where this is going.
The Government of Canada needs to look at food as essential and frame policy to support this. The regulatory burden with proposed policy measures on packaging and heating costs are examples of driving up costs through poorly developed policy measures that do not look at the unintended consequences.
Before closing, I would like to note the grocery code of conduct. We have heard a diversity of testimony. As a steering committee member and now interim board member of the code, I can attest to the fact that everyone is working hard to reduce and stabilize food prices. The process of developing a code has made all key industry players talk to each other in a way that has not happened in the past but is positive in terms of moving forward. We may not have a perfect solution yet, but we are years ahead from where we were in 2020. Trade associations continue to work on solutions for all. While there is concern, I know, that not all major retailers are around the table, we are still negotiating. I will tell everyone that it is a negotiation, and we continue to do so.
In closing, we need to take a full food systems approach to finding a solution to food inflation. There is no silver bullet. We have a large geography to navigate. We have diverse urban, rural and remote communities to serve. The path forward needs to recognize all of these elements and consider all of the unintended consequences that could develop through poor policy frameworks.
Thank you for the opportunity. I look forward to questions.
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Thank you very much, Mr. Chair, and members of the committee.
Food price inflation has slowed down in recent months, and this is a very positive development, but it remains higher than overall inflation. Food prices increased by 5.6% in the 12 months ending in October, compared to general inflation of 3.1%.
In my judgment, an increase in profits collected at the retail stage of the food supply chain has made a measurable and sustained contribution to those continued high food prices. Supermarkets did not cause the outbreak of inflation that followed the COVID pandemic, but they did make it worse.
I have prepared a submission, which I believe has been distributed to the committee, with updated data regarding prices and profits in the food retail sector in Canada. Let me briefly summarize the main findings.
Based on profits realized in the first nine months of this year, net income in the food retail sector will likely exceed $6 billion for 2023. That's up 8% from 2022 and sets a new all-time record.
Food retailers are now earning more than twice as much profit as they did before the COVID pandemic.
Basic mathematics refutes the claim that you have heard from supermarket CEOs that they have merely been passing on higher input costs to consumers. An industry cannot double its profits if it's merely passing on higher expenses.
Measured as a share of total revenue, the net income margin of food retailers also remains elevated. The sector-wide profit margin was 3.3% of total revenue in the first nine months of 2023, again more than twice as wide as it was in 2019. This profit margin is widely misunderstood in popular discussions about food retailing.
Supermarket CEOs often describe food retail as a low-margin business because final profits are a small percentage of total revenue. This does not mean that food retail is not a very profitable industry, however. The margin merely reflects the fundamental input/output structure of any business.
Food retailers generally do not process or manufacture the products they sell. They simply buy them from suppliers, add a mark-up and sell them to consumers. Their business expenses are limited to functions directly related to the stores they operate. It is thus natural that profit margins relative to total costs, including the costs of those already-made products, seem low.
In contrast, profit margins for other industries that undertake more complex and vertically integrated functions like product development and manufacturing tend to be higher as a proportion of sales.
Businesses, when they are investing capital, evaluate investment opportunities not according to which industry offers the widest sales margin but rather the greatest return on invested capital, and since grocery stores are not a capital or technology-intensive undertaking, profits relative to the scale of capital invested in those stores can be quite significant.
For example, in its latest financial report covering the first three-quarters of 2023, George Weston Limited reported a net income of about $2.7 billion over nine months, up 12% from the similar period a year ago. That may seem small relative to overall revenues, but it's large compared with the invested equity base in the company, which was $13.7 billion at the close of that period. That implies an annualized return on equity over the first nine months of 2023 of 26.4%, so that is a very strong rate of profit by any definition. The idea that grocery stores are a low-margin business is quite misleading.
The sustained record profits in food retail contrast with profit trends elsewhere in the economy. We have seen a decline in overall profits in 2023, which rose substantially right after the pandemic but have moderated since. The same goes, interestingly, for the food processing sector, which also enjoyed strong profits initially after the pandemic that have moderated since.
Finally, I would like to address the suggestions made by some observers that high food prices are caused by Canada's federal-provincial carbon pricing system.
There is no correlation in either historic data or international comparisons between carbon pricing and food inflation. In Canada, food price inflation was higher in years when increases in the national carbon price, which was phased in beginning in 2018, were smaller, so statistically there's actually a negative correlation between changes in the carbon price and food inflation. U.S. food prices grew faster than in Canada on a cumulative basis since the pandemic, even though the U.S. has no carbon pricing system.
I'll leave it at that. Thank you, again, and I look forward to the questions.
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This is very concerning, and I appreciate your bringing this up on committee.
Ninety per cent of what packaging does, it does before the consumer sees it. If this moves forward, the notice will remove all bagged salads. It will remove all value-added...so all of the clamshells of fresh-cut blueberries and strawberries, all of the products that you would get out of California—or shipped from Mexico when we're not in season—would be removed from the market, just because they wouldn't be able to make the journey. We wouldn't have bananas in Canada, because bananas are shipped in a plastic bag to Canada to control ripening and damage.
You would basically take out a significant portion of the market. You would add an over 20% cost to produce that is available to the market. You would change the dynamic. Even a locally grown product coming out of the fields in Quebec, shipped to local retailers, would have a reduced shelf life.
We would also see waste increase by 50%. We would see GHG emissions double by another 22 million....
It's would be a dramatic impact to the industry and to the consumer.
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Right now, if we're looking at the carbon tax, we see that the issue is that the carbon tax imposes.... I'm going to take the greenhouse industry, because it's one of the key industries in our sector that relies on natural gas to heat; and because of the nature and climate we live in, it's an essential part of their business.
Right now, the greenhouse vegetable sector is estimating a cost of over $22 million annually due to the carbon tax. With the lack of an exemption, which was denied in the bill coming out of the Senate, they're looking at an expected rise to $82 million to $100 million by 2030.
I appreciate the other witness providing his commentary. That cost will be passed on. It won't be an immediate pass-on, but there's no way the greenhouse industry can take on that burden of cost and move forward. Many of them are already relocating their operations to the U.S. and Mexico to satisfy production costs and competitiveness in the Canadian marketplace.
Mr. Lemaire, I want to build on what you're saying.
Would you have some numbers to provide to committee in terms of greenhouse investments in Canada versus the U.S., for instance, which would be a comparable market?
A lot of the issues you brought up, like access to labour in the U.S., are the same issues. Talking to our counterparts down there, they also have worker programs and they face the same labour crunch. There are the same issues in Europe, where they face the same labour crunch.
I'm curious to understand—
Mr. Ron Lemaire: It's a combination.
Mr. Francis Drouin: Yes, it's a combination.
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It does fit the definition of an oligopoly, which is where the controlling share of a market is held not by one company, but by a few companies. I don't think there's any question about that.
Is it competitive? Oligopolies do compete with each other. There's no doubt about that. They compete with each other in particular, limited ways that don't necessarily conform to the assumptions of competition as it's taught in economics textbooks.
There's not a black and white spectrum between competitive and non-competitive. There are ways in which they compete with each other, but there are ways in which they clearly don't.
I do think that the fact that this industry is so concentrated does help to explain why its profits have remained at these elevated levels postpandemic, while other sectors in Canada have seen profits retrenched towards pre-COVID norms.
As some of those initial inspiring factors that cause the inflation—things like supply chain shortages and even energy prices—start to abate elsewhere, that has led to a slowdown in inflation and reduced profits. In the food retail sector, profits continue to grow. That is an exception.
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The data in my submission, sir, is from Statistics Canada's industry-wide data in which companies are allocated to different sectors based on their dominant business. It would include all the revenues and profits from supermarkets that happen to sell some pharmaceuticals on the side, as well. In that regard, we see that, as noted in my submission, the quantity of sales in real terms has shrunk over the last two years of high prices. That would include their attempts to diversify into other products, whether it's pharmaceuticals, clothing or other things some of these chains are selling.
Now, I am also puzzled by the logic of that argument. As a consumer, I don't really care whether I was ripped off in aisle A with the produce, aisle C with the packaged food or aisle F, where they sell Tylenol and other over-the-counter pharmaceutical products. I don't see that argument helping them.
If anything, the breadth of these companies' dominance not just in one industry—food—but also in others further attests to concerns about the corporate power this oligopoly is able to assert.
Yes, we'd like certain adjustments to be made to the risk management programs to afford businesses a vision of the future. They must be able to cope with climate change and the price swings that may occur in the next few years.
There's the AgriStability program at the federal level. Without going into the technical details, I'll just say that this program is based on margin variations over a five-year period. Of course, climate change will cause more variations and, as a result, more than one in five years will be bad. Consequently, we think a major change has to be made to the AgriStability program to take climate change into account.
The same is true of all the harvest insurance programs administered by the provinces. Producers would also have to take out extended coverage, to deal with climate change, and possibly disaster insurance coverage for extreme cases.
The purpose of these recommendations by the Association des producteurs maraîchers du Québec is to maintain future fruit and vegetable activity. Stable fruit and vegetable operations necessarily mean stable prices.
[English]
I've stopped the time. I let her finish because I wanted to make sure you had the answer, and some of our francophone colleagues, but for our English colleagues, there was no translation. I let that happen, and I used my discretion.
You have three and a half minutes left.
[Translation]
Unfortunately, you won't be able to speak, Ms. Lessard, because of the sound problem.
:
Climate change will obviously bring on new farming practices. We have to work with the various stakeholders, such as the scientists and the businesses that sell inputs, to adapt our farming practices to climate change.
This need to adapt practices, whether in irrigation or drainage, for example, will encourage us to reconsider practices we've engaged in for decades. We need to be financially capable of meeting these challenges through innovation, but no SME can face those challenges alone.
It's helpful to remind you, sir, that the average farm in Quebec has to invest $500,000 at the start of the season before it can make even a single dollar in revenue. And I mean revenue, not profit. It's harder and harder for agricultural SMEs to meet that enormous challenge.
:
Thank you very much, Mr. Chair.
Thank you to all the witnesses who are helping to guide our committee through this study.
Mr. Stanford, I'd like to start with you. We've now had four of the CEOs reappear before our committee. What struck me when Mr. Weston was here—and indeed with all of them—was the reason so many people across Canada have such a lack of trust in the grocery retail sector. It is that families from coast to coast to coast are struggling, yet we see this corporate sector still doing quite well.
The reason it's such an emotional issue is that they are selling not just any product; they are selling the necessities of life. I mean, that's the thing where we're all equal. We all need to eat to survive. Even when it comes to medications, that's still a reality. I know Mr. Weston's salary is about 431 times that of the average employee. None of the CEOs were able to tell this committee how many of their employees are using a food bank just to get by, even though they may be working full time.
I really appreciate how, in your handout to the committee, over pages 2 and 3, you really illustrated the point that despite claims this is a low-margin industry—and I think it's a misnomer—it doesn't necessarily reflect the fact that it's not a profitable business. To simply explain it, you can have relatively the same margin over a number of years, so that may look low or static, but in grocery retail, it's doubled. You've shown that. Even so, if their gross revenues are going up, that margin is still going to translate into a fairly substantial profit. We've seen that when you compared quarters year over year. Is there anything you wanted to add to that point from your opening remarks?
:
Thank you, Mr. MacGregor.
I think the issue of the profit margin has been misunderstood and perhaps deliberately misportrayed as a sign the industry is not profiting from food inflation. We've heard the claim that, if you buy $100 worth of groceries, only $3 to $4 of that actually goes to the profits of the supermarket. We have to adjust that analogy today, because a cart of groceries costs $200 now, not $100. Therefore, only $6 to $8 of it goes to the profits of the supermarket. Still, that makes it seem inconsequential, and it's not.
First of all, as I noted, food retail is not a capital-intensive industry, so the amount of invested capital in that sector is not high. It's barriers to new entrants, including the market power of the companies that are already there and have consolidated their power through all the mergers and acquisitions that have occurred over the last generation, which were detailed in that Competition Bureau report, and very helpfully. That's what keeps it so cozy as an oligopoly, and it has allowed them to take advantage of the uncertainty and disruption associated with the pandemic, and increase their margins.
First of all, it's false that the margins didn't increase. Secondly, even if they seem small, it's a large amount of profit relative to the capital that's invested.
:
Thank you, Mr. Stanford.
I'm going to load up two questions here, just in the interest of time.
You stated in your handout and your opening remarks that the carbon tax absolutely pales in comparison with the profits in the oil and gas sector as a driver of inflation. In previous handouts, you've shown that oil and gas, over the last three years, has seen net profits increase by over 1,000%.
Can you extrapolate, from those massive profits in oil and gas, how that's affected food prices? I think we need to look a little upstream.
Also, I noticed you wrote a bit in your handout about how even executives in the grocery retail sector are doing stock buybacks and dividend payouts. I have a friend back in my riding of Cowichan-Malahat-Langford who's looked at the financials of oil and gas. He noted the oil and gas sector has shifted to a capital-discipline, flat-growth and high-shareholder-return strategy. They too are using their massive profits not to reinvest in industry or pay the Canadian people but to send to shareholders. Those are the primary beneficiaries.
Do you see correlations in the grocery retail sector?
:
You're quite right, sir.
In fact, your initial question talked about the necessities of life and this being one reason why Canadians are so upset about food prices. However, there are other necessities of life, including housing, energy and other things we must buy. In many cases, companies were able to take advantage of the disruptions of the pandemic to increase their own profits. You could say this is just how the market works. Suppliers will charge what the market will bear. In my own view, I think there are both ethical and economic reasons to challenge the ability of companies with that market power to increase prices in a moment of economic and social disruption.
Energy prices, initially, in the period up until mid-2022, were the leading cause of inflation in Canada. The profits captured by those companies made the supermarket profits look like spare change, really. They were enormous. Now energy profits have come back down, in part because of the normalization of supply relationships. Food retail profits have stayed quite high.
However, in both cases, they earned huge amounts of profit and contributed significantly to Canadian inflation and the macroeconomic after-effects of inflation, including the high interest rates we're experiencing now. They have so much money that they literally don't know what to do with it. That's why, in the energy sector, the food retail sector and some other sectors, you've seen a surge in share buybacks by companies that are saying they're going to find a way to pay this back to investors.
The federal government, of course, has a new modest tax on share buybacks. I think that's a good idea, and I think it should be expanded. Other measures should be taken to capture some of the froth that is represented in those record profits in food retail, energy and other sectors.
:
Thank you, Mr. MacGregor.
You mentioned the word “froth”, Mr. Stanford. I'm going to be want a beer after this committee.
Anyway, speaking of committee, we only have a few minutes left, colleagues, so I'm going to try to keep it tight. I'm going to ask for four minutes from the Liberals and Conservatives, and we'll do two and a half each for the Bloc and NDP.
It's over to you, Mr. Steinley.
Thanks to the witnesses for being with us this afternoon.
Mr. Léger Bourgoin, you mentioned a lot of things at the outset.
For example, you touched on equitable relations between the parties, retailers and producers; in short, among all the intermediaries.
You also discussed the importance of reciprocity of standards in importing products in a context where fruit and vegetable businesses in Quebec are mainly family businesses.
Do you think we're doing a good job on the reciprocity of standards for importing certain products into Canada? Various products could be imported in much larger volumes in future. What impact you think that will have on the reciprocity of standards? Are we doing the work correctly?
I want to thank everyone for being here as well. It's an important discussion.
I'll direct my questions to you, Dr. Stanford. You stated that the latest industry-wide financial data on food retail is showing that the retail profits have doubled since prepandemic norms, and that profits are continuing to grow. You also mentioned that grocery retailers are not capital-intensive. They are not growing, processing or manufacturing the products they sell. You said they purchase products from suppliers, adding their markup and selling to consumers.
What are the main reasons behind this increase? In your opinion, why haven't profit margins narrowed back to prepandemic levels? Is industry concentration or demand inelasticity contributing to the sustained high profits in the food sector?
:
That's a very good question, sir. Thank you for asking it.
I can't profess to have the final answer on it. I think it requires further study, and I know that both your committee and the Competition Bureau itself have been trying to do that. Your tasks would be easier if you had more access to transparent data from the retailers themselves.
I don't mean to underestimate the complexity of running an efficient, modern food retail operation. There is certainly a lot of planning, technology, logistics and entrepreneurship involved, but, in terms of the amount of invested capital in the firms, it's small relative to the total flow of revenue. That's how these companies can make a very high rate of return on equity and generate very healthy returns to their investors, including total return and capital gain. The share prices of most of these firms have risen dramatically since the pandemic, and then the distribution of actual cash, whether through normal dividends or share repurchases....
Why they have been able to sustain those record profits while profitability elsewhere in Canada's economy has been returning towards normal over the past year is a very important question. I'm sure that the concentrated nature of the industry has something to do with it. I am sure that the desperation of consumers to put food on the table—as noted earlier, it is a necessity of life—creates an inelasticity to demand.
I think it requires further study to really identify any more of the specific reasons why this industry, quite uniquely, has been able to sustain the record profits that rose after the pandemic, despite higher food prices and a decline in the quantity of food that Canadians are purchasing.
:
Energy prices themselves would be a completely higher order of magnitude on the impact on food prices than the carbon price itself. In fact, the increase in energy prices charged by energy producers, including those in Canada on Canadian energy charged to Canadian consumers—which has nothing directly to do with what's happening in the Middle East—means that the impact on food prices was 30 or 40 times greater than the direct impact of the carbon price.
The other point to remember is that even that 30¢ on the $100 estimate is really telling only one side of the story. That is based on tracking the carbon price through the input chain into all of the different factors that end up in the consumer's final basket, but the whole point of the carbon price is to encourage changes in behaviour, to shift towards renewable forms of energy and to conserve energy, both of which will have offsetting impacts on final prices.
Some of the studies internationally that have looked at the overall economic effects of carbon pricing on the whole price level and not just on products that use fossil fuels intensively suggest that there is no net impact on the overall consumer price index or potentially a slight deflationary impact because of the benefits of strong investments in renewable energy on energy costs and energy supply.
If anything, I think that number you threw out is probably too pessimistic and, on a net basis, the impact on food prices will be nothing, if not, in fact, negative.
I would like to direct my last question to Mr. Lemaire.
Mr. Lemaire, I was happy to join with a number of my colleagues around this table at the CPMA when you were in Ottawa and we did the MP round table. I do appreciate how sensitive the issue on plastics is for the industry. We heard that very clearly. I remember saying during that panel that in the riding I represent, being a coastal environment, we're very sensitive to the issue of plastic pollution because of microplastics and bioaccumulation and so on. So I think it's a noble intent, but I think you've very well outlined the concerns that the industry has.
That being said, I remember going to Montreal last year. I think it was in April. You were at the Montréal Convention Centre. All kinds of the companies you represent were there, displaying not only the latest technology but also some innovations that were going on in packaging.
I think the big concern is that a lot of the Canadians I speak to are just wondering how we can keep plastics from going into the waste stream and how we can encourage a little bit more recycling and reusing. I think this is probably a good moment for you to outline some of the important steps that your members are already taking in this regard. I did see some pretty great demonstrations. They may not be product-ready yet, but it does show that there are companies making a lot effort in this.
Perhaps you can take the next minute to talk a little bit about that.
:
Thank you, Mr. MacGregor. You hit it right on the head. The industry has been progressive. We have been working, actually since before 2018, to drive change in sustainable packaging. But there's a lot more complexity to where we're going compared with what the policy framework is suggesting under P2.
Right now we've looked at increased recycled content in our plastic materials. That is why we need to look at a systems approach in our recycling framework across the country to more effectively collect and recycle. We've looked at a 17% reduction in the ratio of food weight to packaging. We've looked at leveraging the golden design rules, effectively, to drive those across the country and have effective and sustainable solutions. We've worked with Agriculture Canada to launch an online platform to provide the food industry with direction on how to create sustainable packaging. We've looked at lightweighting, where you remove 30% of the material in the package so that it can be more effective and more sustainable in the marketplace.
These are just some of the pieces toward creating a circular economy. The industry is being very progressive to get there. The challenge is that to move to a total elimination is a step too far for anyone, not only in Canada but also on a global level.
:
Thank you very much, Mr. Lemaire and Mr. MacGregor.
Colleagues, that brings us to the end of the second panel.
I want to say a few things.
First of all, of course, on your behalf to our witnesses, thank you for taking the time to be with us this evening to contribute to the study. I want to wish you a merry Christmas, happy holidays and a happy new year. We'll see you in 2024.
On that note, colleagues, we did have a scheduled time on Thursday morning. However, there's uncertainty about when the House may rise. To be fair to our witnesses, in case we were to rise on Wednesday, I'm going to give you your time back on Thursday morning. We will continue in the new year.
With that, if I don't happen to see you in the House, I want to wish everyone a merry Christmas and happy holidays. I hope you have a great time back with your families and your constituents following this week.
Thank you to our translators and to all our staff, as well. Merry Christmas and happy holidays to you.
The meeting is adjourned.