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I declare this meeting open. I want to welcome you to meeting number 10 of the House of Commons Standing Committee on Agriculture and Agri-Food.
I have a few reminders, folks. We've been here before.
This meeting is taking place in a hybrid format, pursuant to the House order of November 25, 2021. The proceedings will be made available via the House of Commons website, and the webcast will always show the person speaking rather than the entirety of the committee.
Screenshots are not permitted and, frankly, the rest we've heard before.
To our witnesses, thank you for being here.
If you need to toggle between languages, all of that is available, and, of course, we have the sound check.
We're going to get right to it.
This is the last meeting on the study. Pursuant to Standing Order 108(2) and the motion adopted by the committee on Monday, January 31, 2022, the committee is resuming its study of the agriculture and agri-food supply chain.
I would now like to welcome our witnesses to our first panel.
Joining us via video conference today is Al Mussell, who is the research director of the Canadian Agri-Food Policy Institute.
Mr. Mussell, welcome back. We know you had technical difficulties. You won't have any opening remarks, but you'll be available for questions, and I'm sure members will take you up on it.
We have, from the Keystone Agricultural Producers, Bill Campbell, president; and from Pattison Food Group, Julie Dickson Olmstead, managing director of public affairs and corporate responsibility at Save-On-Foods Limited Partnership. Welcome.
Finally, with the Union des producteurs agricoles, we have Martin Caron, general president; and David Tougas, coordinator, business economics.
Each party will have five minutes for opening remarks.
I'd like to invite Mr. Campbell to make an opening statement of up to five minutes.
:
Thank you very much, and good afternoon, everyone.
Mr. Chair and members of the committee, thank you for this invitation to appear before you today to discuss agriculture and the agri-food supply chain. My name is Bill Campbell, and I am currently serving as president of Keystone Agricultural Producers. Keystone Agricultural Producers is the voice of farmers in Manitoba. We represent over 4,600 farms across the province, along with 20 commodity groups and organizations. We advocate on behalf of all farmers to all levels of government.
Over the past couple of years, Canadians have come to see how agriculture and agri-food supply chains can no longer be taken for granted. Floods, fires, overseas conflicts and railway work stoppages have highlighted how interconnected and fragile our supply chain is. Creating resiliency and long-term stability in our supply chain is a complex endeavour. This resiliency and this stability are dependent on a supply system in which each individual part operates in unison with the others. Having a resilient and stable supply chain means that problems are addressed in an efficient and effective manner.
Labour shortages, transportation issues and rising input costs are all top concerns for Manitoba producers. These uncertainties can impact market stability and eventually supply. Nearly all grain elevators in Manitoba are served by CP or CN, which means that grain farmers are fully reliant on a single railway to have their products shipped to market. This railway structure makes disruptions such as work stoppages or natural disasters detrimental to our industry and has cascading effects throughout the supply chain. Farmers are not only reliant on class I railways to have their products shipped to market, but are dependent on the railways for inputs such as fertilizer and feed for livestock. Fertilizer is very important to crop yields and ultimately farm revenue. The latest CP work stoppage created serious concerns amongst Manitoba farmers given the closeness to the seeding season and the need for nutrient sources and feed shortages. Given how critical rail transportation is to the agricultural supply chain, our organization recommends that the federal government classify class I carriers as an essential service, which would limit an unfettered strike scenario.
Another issue of concern for Manitoba farmers is the cost of inputs. Producers are seeing significant price increases for nitrogen, phosphorous and potassium fertilizers. For example, last year the average producer in Manitoba paid around $700 a tonne for urea; they are now paying close to $1,300. Some prices for anhydrous fertilizers are quoted as being $2,270 per tonne, while in the fall of 2021, the price was $1,170. Furthermore, high input costs and high grain prices are burdensome for livestock operations that require the growing and buying of feed for their animals.
Chronic labour shortages have been an ongoing problem in the agricultural sector. Currently there exist challenges with hiring skilled workers, difficulties with employee retention, geographical recruitment barriers and an aging workforce. A few pork producers in the province have commented that 50% of their barn positions remain unfilled.
Agriculture is perhaps one of the most critical and essential industries in Canada. Consumers often take for granted the quality, safety and availability of food found in grocery stores. A large part of the population is unaware of all the steps that are required to bring livestock, wheat or other commodities from a field to the grocery shelves. Widespread drought and severe supply chain issues can have major impacts on the availability of food in stores. Water and food are essential and basic human needs. If these needs are not met for most of the population, then the outcomes are dire.
Nearly all Canadians lack the skills, knowledge or access to land needed to obtain an independent supply of food or water outside of grocery stores. For this reason, the producers and workers who are part of the agricultural supply chain are an indispensable component to ensure the health and safety of all Canadians. There is perhaps no better time than now to act on addressing the current issues in our supply chain.
Thank you once again for the opportunity to meet with you today. I am more than happy to answer or address any comments or questions you may have.
:
Thank you and good afternoon, Mr. Chair and committee members.
My name is Julie Dickson Olmstead, and I am speaking to you from the traditional unceded territory of the Katzie, Semiahmoo, Kwantlen and Coast Salish Peoples of British Columbia. We very much appreciate the opportunity to be here today to provide a perspective from the west.
I'm here on behalf of the Pattison Food Group, which is Canada's largest western-based provider of food and health products, originally established in New Westminster, B.C., in 1915. Collectively we employ 30,000 team members, and our companies are proud to be recognized as among the top 100 employers in B.C. and Canada.
We have 11 retail banners, with close to 300 food and drug retail locations throughout western Canada, Whitehorse, Yukon, and Washington state and Oregon. Our largest and signature company is Save-On-Foods.
Our four wholesale businesses cater to nearly 2,000 independent grocers, restaurants and specialty retailers, from B.C. to Quebec. We operate five food and pharmacy production facilities.
Innovation is a hallmark of our company, and agility has never been more important to our business than in the last two-plus years. Supporting our communities is at the heart of our business. We serve over 2.3 million Canadians every week, travel tens of millions of miles annually on western Canadian highways and depend on all forms of distribution to move our goods efficiently.
Doing business with local growers, producers and suppliers is a key priority for us. We carry thousands of locally made products from more than 3,500 local growers and producers, including up to 75% of our produce when in season.
With that backdrop, and in consideration of the short time we have, allow me to focus on the following, and then I'll be happy to answer any questions.
In the food sector, the greatest impediment to growth is the lack of regulatory harmonization and coordination. Understanding that food regulations lie with different jurisdictions in Canada, it cannot be said often enough that these disparate rules represent the greatest costs and greatest growth impediments for small to mid-size grocery businesses.
With that in mind, we would encourage this committee to consider convening provincial, territorial and federal agri-food officials, and industry stakeholders including grocers, to come together to review, address and agree on a framework that would not only eliminate regulatory barriers in the supply chain but also allow for greater speed of innovation. This includes food, but also transportation, labour and various other matters.
Of great importance is a focus on better alignment and communication between federal ministries, specifically Agriculture Canada, Health Canada, and Innovation, Science and Economic Development Canada, and the need for these ministries to better understand the role of all stakeholders in the agri-food supply chain, which includes small, mid-size and large grocers.
Grocers and their partners in the agri-food supply chain continue to incur huge costs from the inconsistent rules and regulations and the lack of harmonization in standards and increasing red tape.
Speaking of regulations, let me address a question that was asked by members of this committee regarding the proposed grocery code of practice.
As a member of both the Retail Council of Canada and the Canadian Federation of Independent Grocers, both of which serve on the FPT code steering committee, I can attest to the hard work under way to develop a made-in-Canada code, one that reflects the unique nature of our country and its agri-food sector, and one that is national, inclusive of all supply chain partners, reciprocal, mandatory, enforceable and non-regulated.
Speaking on behalf of many of my colleagues, I would ask that we avoid referring to it as the “retail fee code”, but more accurately refer to it as the “grocery code”.
Finally, I would urge this committee to support the ongoing work of the FPT industry steering committee. It has taken time to develop a framework and ensure that there is extensive stakeholder engagement, but I believe you would agree with me when I say that no code would be better than a bad code. We all want a good code, one that will ensure stability, healthy competition and fair negotiations, sustained growth and a thriving agri-food sector in Canada, and also one that doesn't add costs and complexity to the business, which would ultimately drive up the cost of groceries for consumers.
In closing, together with government, we must enable the Canadian food industry to build a sustainable food supply system, with competitive pricing for consumers, by levelling the playing field between domestic businesses and multinationals so that Canadian businesses can compete. This includes investing in new technologies and innovation, and investing in ways that enable our sector to attract and retain a skilled workforce that can meet the demands of today and tomorrow. We must guard against over-regulation and red tape.
If there is a lesson we have learned during the events of the past two years, and more recently during the catastrophic climate events that happened in British Columbia last November, it's that when we truly partner together to solve problems, we can move mountains overnight, literally.
To be successful, we must together collaborate and commit to innovate with urgency.
Thank you.
I thank the members of the committee for inviting me to testify today.
My remarks will focus on two points, namely the labour shortage and the fluctuating cost of inputs.
On the labour front, temporary foreign workers, or TFWs, are essential workers in the agri-food sector and they are critical to the food security of Canadians. The pandemic has shown just how important they are.
The unemployment rate is 5.5% in Canada, and 4.5% in Quebec. Farm production, however, is increasing by 8% per year. In some areas such as the Chaudière-Appalaches region, the unemployment rate is 4%. The labour shortage is expected to last another 10 years. This explains the 10% per year increase in the number of temporary foreign workers. As this number will continue to grow, it's essential that the program's administrative requirements be reviewed.
Employers prefer to hire the same workers every year, for the same period and the same duties. Applications for labour market impact assessments, or LMIAs, should therefore be valid for three years. This would be a quick and practical way to reduce the administrative burden. It would reduce delays and time wasted at each of the many steps in the process. Every setback in the process can potentially delay the arrival of workers, and even increase the risk that they won't arrive at all.
At this point we have to deal with three different programs. We recommend reducing the number of programs and simplifying the paperwork. On several occasions we have tabled a sample form that is six pages long instead of the current twelve.
We also recommend that you do away with the National Commodity List for the seasonal agricultural workers program. Simply refer to the definition of "primary agriculture" set out in the Immigration and Refugee Protection Regulations. It took 10 years for maple syrup production to be added to the list, and several other industries are still missing, including rabbit breeding and forage production.
There is another issue to consider. Small farms are not able to offer TFWs a 40- to 50‑hour work week. The rules should be changed to allow producers to share a worker's hours. Workers could split their time between two farms, depending on their needs and priorities. They could, for example, milk cows on one farm in the morning and on the other in the evening.
With regard to the second point, fluctuating input costs, if you go back a few years you'll realize that we can't count on the certainties of the past in the future. The U.S.–China trade war has made it clear that the world's major agricultural powers are interdependent. These countries all have a role to play in the global agri-food supply chain, including Canada's. The pandemic and the war in Ukraine have confirmed this. The idea that all links in the global supply chain will be dependable in the future has been put to rest.
The impact of this new reality can best be described in one word: volatility. Current agricultural commodity prices were the first to experience volatility and it has now spread to inputs. Fertilizer prices have doubled and fuel prices, including diesel, have risen by 24% in 12 months. The prices of plant protection products, packaging and plastics have also risen faster than inflation over the past year. Add to this the impending rise in interest-related expenses due to the recovery announced by the Bank of Canada. All of these items account for 25% of farm operating expenses. If you include food-related expenses, such as grains and feed, you have 35% of expenses rising faster than inflation.
The solution to this problem may seem complex, but in reality it's very simple and already almost within reach. You need to enhance the AgriStability program. The program was designed to handle exactly this type of situation. It's designed to deal with fluctuations in operating margins. In the past, these fluctuations were generally caused by price volatility in the markets. The volatility of input prices in recent years, and even in recent months, may generate margin declines that will require AgriStability. However, in its current form, the program is unable to adequately support farms experiencing margin declines due to rising input costs.
In order for this program to step in, the margin has to be 30% lower than the historical margin.
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The current margin is 30%. We're asking to go back to the 2013 margin, which was 85%. That's really critical.
People are worried about operating margins right now, given the volatility and the impact of cost overruns due to inflation.
We already have a program and there's no need to reinvent it. We need to use this program, but we must raise the margin to 85%.
I will give you a quick example. A producer or farm that averages $60,000 in revenue and $50,000 in allowable expenses generates a margin of $100,000. Let's say expenses go up 8%. That's an additional $40,000 in expenses. The margin is no longer $100,000, but $60,000. Under the current program, the farmer would only get $7,000. If the program were enhanced by raising the margin to 85%, the farmer would get $17,500. That's quite—
The committee recently re‑tabled its report on processing capacity. We would like to get positive responses from the on everything related to temporary foreign workers as there is a significant labour shortage. You mentioned earlier that the unemployment rate in the Chaudière-Appalaches region was 4% and that it was less than 3% in Beauce. So clearly there is a dire need. So the issue of temporary foreign workers would be really relevant, because we have leading processing companies.
I'm going to talk about the other point you made about input price volatility. You suggested raising the threshold of the AgriStability program from 70% to 85%. This recommendation was included in our report, “Facing the Unexpected: Enhancing Business Risk Management Programs for Agriculture and Agri‑food Businesses”. No concrete action has been taken.
We understand that agreement is required from all or a majority of the provinces to move forward.
In terms of the agriculture sector in Canada, is there any way to agree on a way to work so that provinces that want to can make this change?
Could we all work together in this regard?
:
Thank you, Mr. Chair. I appreciate that.
I want to quickly give thanks and appreciation for the IT support just when we got lost. I had a phone call from my team to make sure everything was all right. They are very thorough, and that allows us to be here in various parts of the country at the same time, so thank you to the IT department for making this happen.
Also, in both official languages, merci beaucoup to our translators for allowing me to talk to everybody at once.
I thank all the witnesses for being here, but I thank you especially, Mr. Campbell and Monsieur Caron. Please extend our thanks to your members. You have been dealing with the pandemic, dealing with droughts and dealing with flooding in British Columbia. We've heard about the blockades at some of Canada's critical border crossings, the invasion of Ukraine by Russia, and all of these things, and yet still you persevere, and food is still on our tables. I want to thank your members on behalf of a grateful nation.
My friend and colleague, Mr. MacGregor, mentioned resiliency.
Monsieur Caron, you mentioned that support was needed to remain competitive, and that's one of the things we want to do. We've heard a lot on the supply chain. One thing I want to focus on now is managing food waste on farms. When you're the farmer who's growing the food, any product that goes to waste before it even reaches market is going to be bad for your bottom line. I'm confident that farmers are doing everything they can to ensure that as little as possible of the food grown is wasted. That is essential for our supply chains, but reducing food waste and getting more of the produce to market would be one of the best ways to improve profit margins. With study after study, we have seen how small profit margins can be for farmers.
What I'm looking to learn is this: Are there ways farmers can manage food waste on farms, and more importantly, are there ways we can support those measures, given those thin margins you're working with, as far as planning crops or harvesting goes?
Mr. Campbell, go ahead.
:
That's a very good question, and it hits home as we work on the landscape. I am a primary producer and I am certainly aware of waste. I'm quite conscious of that part.
Any of our products that are not utilized in the food system are then utilized in supplementation for livestock. We have that alternative with that, be it heated grain or out-of-storage grain or other components. We need to ensure that we have a diversified portfolio that is economically viable so we can utilize all of these products. We see the utilization of dried distillers' grain in the ethanol process. We also see some of the other products, such as in the protein strategy in Manitoba. We utilize some of the pea milk, as they call it, as a protein.
One of the things that are very important in ensuring that there is no food waste would be the removal of the carbon tax on grain drying and the heating of barns for livestock. If we can get our commodities into a safe storage position, we will not have that potential for food wastage and degradation and the decline in value of product. We are very proud of what we do, of growing the best product we can, but if we don't have the tools to ensure that safe storage and delivery.... I think you need to realize that our products are delivered 12 months of the year to export positions and that there is that storage component to that. In Canada we do not always have the most favourable harvest conditions.
To your question, yes, we do the very best we can, because we need to secure the most revenue we can on our farms.
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Good afternoon. Thank you for your invitation to appear today. My name is Gary Sands. I am the senior vice-president of the Canadian Federation of Independent Grocers.
There are approximately 6,900 independent grocery stores in Canada, and in some provinces, such as this one, Ontario, independents actually account for the majority of grocery stores.
Some of you may have read the op-ed article I wrote in the Toronto Star this past weekend on food affordability, and for those of you who did, please forgive me for repeating some of the points I made in that article.
As you know, Canada is like a tapestry. It's woven together from a myriad of urban, semi-rural, rural and remote communities. We need to bear in mind that in many of those rural and remote communities, an independent grocery store is often the only grocery store. That context is extremely important when we talk about issues of food affordability, fair supply, uneven fluctuations in the cost of inputs, labour shortages and the spiralling costs of things like trucking and fuel.
Over the course of the last two years and dealing with the challenges of a global pandemic, the supply chain is probably experiencing what could best be described as combat fatigue. We weathered catastrophic flooding in British Columbia, resulting in significant damage to infrastructure and transportation corridors. Omicron followed up with another blow, as it ripped through the supply chain, causing widespread labour shortages. In roughly the same time frame, we had the so-called “freedom protesters” set up blockades at some of our critical border crossings, resulting in more supply chain disruption and delays and higher costs for our members.
Of course, the most recent hit will soon be felt as a result of the invasion of Ukraine by Russia, which we know will significantly impact costs for a range of products. As I have said before, the supply chain stakeholders could be forgiven for thinking that Vladimir Putin and the four horsemen of the apocalypse have decided to forge new careers in the food industry.
The cumulative impacts to the entire supply chain that arise from these challenges are not always borne entirely equally. We know that many of our members are seeing cost increases from suppliers in the range of 25% to 30%. They are seeing trucking costs more than double, and fuel surcharges have gone through the roof.
Again, going back to my earlier comment about independents being the only grocery store in many communities, we have to remember that food security for those areas is very much predicated on the ability of those grocers to access fair supply at affordable prices. Retail grocers operate on overall averages of 1.5% to 2.5% lower than other sectors, yet they are dealing with significant increases in prices for dairy, eggs, bread and meat. The rationale given by all of these sectors is that costs are rising—yes, they are—but they are rising for independent grocers too. Who do we pass these costs on to? There is no alternative but to pass them on to the consumer.
This month, a study commissioned by the Beef Farmers of Ontario found that while the price of beef has risen significantly, the source of those increases is getting lost somewhere between gate to plate. According to the study, while farmers' share of profits fell from 41% in 2016 to 39% in 2021, “Grocers and butcher shops fared worst of all...earning an eight per cent share of the profit margin in 2016, to just over two percent in 2021.”
As the last link in the supply chain, and the one who interfaces and is sometimes on the firing line with the customer, the resistance to increasing prices by grocery stores is commendable, but for small and medium-sized independent grocers, it's simply not sustainable. Based on the shared experiences of the last two years, governments and industry, I believe, recognize that they need to work collaboratively together to develop long-term solutions to systemic issues and vulnerabilities that have become very apparent in our supply chain.
One of the last areas that I heard discussed on the last panel and want to address is that of a grocery code of conduct. I want to emphasize that it is a grocery code, not a retail code.
I am one of the members of the steering committee currently working on that industry-led process, so I'm bound by a confidentiality agreement and I have to be careful about what I say. I am raising this issue only because it has been raised with this committee by another organization that is also a member of the steering committee and I would like to expand on those comments.
CFIG has been advocating for a code of conduct for longer than any other association in Canada. We have done so because the Competition Bureau has never been a realistic or helpful instrument for our members in dealing with unfair competition and, in our view, excessive consolidation. We support the concerns that suppliers have with respect to fines and penalties imposed on them by chain retailers. That highly concentrated market has resulted in distorted and sometimes unfair market practices. However, there is also a power imbalance between the independent grocers in your ridings and the large suppliers.
Price increases are often imposed on our members, not negotiated, and often not even explained. We have fought hard—and we shouldn't have had to fight hard—in the last two years to secure fair supply for some essential products. That's not equal supply, but fair supply.
A grocery code of conduct is not just about protecting or helping large, multinational suppliers. It needs to ensure that Canada's small and medium-sized suppliers and processors, and its small and medium-sized retailers, have an instrument that can provide more transparency and fairness in the industry.
We also support a mandatory code that is enforceable, but we do not support a legislated code, which would have to be enacted in every single province—
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Thank you, and good afternoon. I am James Bekkering, chair of the National Cattle Feeders' Association and a feedlot owner in Taber, Alberta. I am joined by Janice Tranberg, president and CEO of the National Cattle Feeders' Association.
NCFA was established in 2007 as a unified voice for Canadian cattle feeders. We are a business- and solutions-oriented organization focused on sustainable growth and profitability, improved competitiveness, and industry leadership and partnership.
Agricultural supply chains are under tremendous pressure and are negatively impacting national food security. In the beef industry, much of the current stress stems from two challenges: securing critical farm inputs, especially feed, and keeping cattle and beef products moving smoothly through the supply chain.
Last year's drought was unprecedented, causing significant shortages of livestock feed and resulting in a surge of feed imports from the U.S. Increased feed demand, along with fires and floods in B.C., has exposed weaknesses in our transportation systems, such as inadequate unloading infrastructure and lack of storage facilities.
Transportation bottlenecks are magnified by a severe trucker shortage, which is expected to triple by 2023. In addition, recent protests that stopped traffic at the Canada-U.S. border and labour stoppages at CP Rail have added further stress to the supply chain. The recent CP Rail labour disruption caused severe angst on my farm and on many others.
In Alberta, we have only a one- to two-week supply of feed grain available, and cattle cannot easily switch their diet in a healthy way, even if other feed grains are available. It was difficult to watch my family farm go through this—we wondered how we would feed our animals, especially when CP Rail and the union had the option to enter into binding arbitration and allow rail movement to continue. While we recognize the right of Canadians to strike, the Government of Canada must declare rail an essential service when animal welfare is on the line.
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This year magnified how critical our supply chain is for agriculture. Last fall, we started to see the impact the drought was going to have on cattle feeders. The entire value chain was not able to fully comprehend the amount of corn and dried distillers grains we were going to require, or the importance of timely delivery. In 2020, Canada imported around 600 railcars of feed from the U.S. In 2021, that rose to over 8,000 railcars, and we've already surpassed this number in 2022.
Train delays depleted our supplies early in 2022 and, just when we thought things were running smoothly, the border was blocked by protesters. This meant not only that beef and live animals could not exit or enter our country, but also that dried distillers grains, which are needed as a feed protein source, were prevented from entering Canada. DDGs are primarily delivered by truck. Therefore, the border closure added another devastating blow. Now, after the CP Rail strike, there is no feed buffer left. Without regular shipments, most feedlots would have been out of feed within one to two weeks, leaving animals compromised.
We appreciate that the agriculture standing committee is looking into supply chain issues. For the cattle sector, this is about more than just the CP Rail strike. It's about the Government of Canada ensuring that essential supply chains are not blocked.
The government must declare railways an essential service. There are no alternatives for the delivery of essential supplies, as we have just outlined. It's not only the railways. Border crossings and other critical supply chain routes cannot be blocked. Any impediment to.... The flow of critical goods necessary for the health, welfare and safety of Canadians must be upheld.
Second, we need the Government of Canada to create an infrastructure funding envelope dedicated to rural infrastructure and the transportation needs of agriculture. Beyond a focus on rural broadband, agriculture desperately requires essential investments in hard economic assets, such as roads, bridges, local transportation networks, and improved rail transfer, storage facilities and infrastructure.
Thank you.
:
Thank you, Mr. Chairman and committee, for the invitation to participate in today's meeting.
I'm Mark Hemmes, the president of Quorum Corporation, which is based in Edmonton. Quorum Corporation has been responsible for monitoring Canada's prairie grain handling and transportation system on behalf of Transport Canada and Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada since June 2001.
The grain monitoring program reports to the government and to industry on the efficiency, reliability, structure and operation of the grain handling and transportation system, as well as any impacts that change may have on producers and the industry.
The GMP tracks grain from the farm gate to the destination at port, including the performance of port vessel activities. We collect industry data and develop and maintain over 250 key measures on the GHTS and publish weekly, monthly, quarterly and annual reports on the grain handling system, in addition to ongoing analysis and discussions with industry stakeholders.
I'm not going to repeat many of the excellent points that have been made by some of the previous presenters, but I do wish to expand on some of the issues that have been raised.
First, a continued focus on infrastructure improvement throughout Canada's transportation network is imperative to Canada maintaining its place in the global agricultural marketplace. The grain industry has enjoyed an annual volume increase of 3% a year over the last eight to 10 years, and the grain companies have invested well over $4 billion in that time, adding to and expanding the capacity of their portion of the supply chain. In order to remain competitive, the balance of the supply chain partners must continue to invest in their infrastructure to match that rate of growth.
Second, the shortage of empty container capacity is crippling an increasing proportion of Canadian specialty grain markets that have successfully been developed over the past 15 years, and is putting those markets at a risk of loss. An important point is that in Canada we have an extreme lack of detailed short-term data on container movement and performance. The data that is available comes more than six months after the fact and describes only the traffic moving from port position, without any information on where the traffic originated. Therefore, the inability to determine the impact of the shortfalls or disruptions in the supply chain cannot be examined in detail until as long as six months after the fact. In contrast, we have extraordinary detail on the movements and effectiveness of bulk movement and export movements.
The lack of data and information on container movements is a critical issue for Canada's container exporting sector, in particular in times such as we're experiencing right now, with shortfalls in available empty capacity and extended service delivery times. At present, we can refer only to anecdotal evidence until the actual data becomes available.
Thirdly, the resilience and recoverability of the railways after the unplanned service disruptions they will always incur is another critical factor that impacts Canada's reputation as a reliable and consistent supplier of products into the global markets. At issue, and what draws the consternation of the rail shippers, is the length of time it takes to recover from outages, which can often extend to months, as in the case of the present post-B.C. flood period.
Regarding resilience and recovery, the measures that come from the GMP and the Ag Transport Coalition provide good examples of how data and statistics can help identify problems in the supply chain. The graph that was provided in the document we've sent on uses GMP and ATC data to show the causal relationship when railways do not meet shipper demand and how it impacts the port grain terminals and may cause vessels to stack up waiting for that grain to arrive. The graph portrays the comparison over the last three and a half years, where six times we can see the almost immediate effect of shortfall in shipper demand, causing terminals to run out of cars to unload, ultimately lengthening the time vessels wait and therefore causing vessel lineups to grow, consequently filling the anchorages in the Vancouver port area.
We see this even in the current crop year, where volumes have been reduced by 40% as a result of the summer's drought conditions and grain vessels should be much lower. Despite this, the railways have not been able to maintain consistent service or supply adequate car supply to meet demand, and the vessels that are in port are experiencing much longer wait times and creating record levels of vessel demurrage. Should there have been a normal-sized crop this year, as Bill Campbell mentioned earlier, this situation would have been very much worse.
While shortfalls in car supply and cars available for unloading—
Coming into this year, we were already in a position of having very low stocks of cereal grains. Many of those stocks are held in places where they're not really available to offset shortages in other places. For example, China is currently sitting on an estimated 70% of the corn stock globally. Some countries have national stockholding programs in an attempt to hoard to feed their own populations, while others have invoked embargoes.
There's a lot written about Ukraine. As a country, it exports a lot of grain and oil seeds. It exports wheat, corn and barley. For corn, it exports over half as much as does the U.S., which is the leading corn exporter.
The markets for those products have been heavily regional—North Africa and the Middle East. In the case of wheat, of which Ukraine is a major exporter and supplier to those countries, those countries are heavily dependent on wheat flour as a source of calories in their diets, and they spend a very high proportion of their incomes on food. This means—
:
Thank you very much, Mr. Chair.
Mr. Hemmes, maybe I'll start with you. In your position as the president of Quorum Corporation, you obviously have an incredible view of our grain handling system.
My riding is on Vancouver Island, and many of the anchorages for the port of Vancouver are located in and among the Gulf Islands. Residents in my riding can obviously see that many of them are anchored there for six to eight weeks at a time, and many of those anchorages are being used. They are noticing that far more are being used than even a decade ago.
With respect to the bulk carriers and trying to find efficiencies in their arrival time, is there anything that you can recommend the Government of Canada do to facilitate more efficiency in terms of port operations, how freighters are arriving, and lining them up with the correct cargo, etc.?
:
That's a tough one to answer. It's a good question, but I don't think you can schedule the arrival of vessels much better than what they do today. In order to have a bulk freighter come into a port, you have to book that freighter anywhere between six and 12 weeks ahead of time.
You do all your logistical planning with the idea that you're not going to keep that vessel there any longer than you absolutely have to, but if the product doesn't arrive at the port to be loaded into the vessel, there's very little anyone can do about that. You're planning three, four and five weeks ahead of time, and when the railways don't provide you with the car capacity to move that product to the port to put it in position to load into a vessel, there's not a lot the port or the terminal operators can do, other than let it wait.
I have to emphasize the fact that there is no shipper or anybody who's contracting a vessel who has any desire to have a vessel sit there for as long as six or eight weeks, because they're paying vessel demurrage on that. Right now, for this year alone, we estimate that the vessel demurrage in Vancouver is exceeding about $35 million, which is a huge number. None of these people want to pay that money, but they're left with no choice.
Bill Campbell pointed out earlier in this session that this is money that ends up coming out of the producer's pocket eventually.