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I call this meeting to order.
This is meeting number 94 of the Standing Committee on International Trade. Today's meeting is taking place in a hybrid format, pursuant to the Standing Orders. Therefore, members are attending in person in the room and remotely using the Zoom application.
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Pursuant to Standing Order 108(2) and the motion adopted by the committee on Tuesday, February 6, the committee is continuing its study of free trade negotiations between Canada and Ecuador.
We have with us today, from the Department of Employment and Social Development, Pierre Bouchard, director, bilateral and regional labour affairs.
From the Department of Foreign Affairs, Trade and Development, we have His Excellency Stephen Potter, ambassador of Canada to Ecuador; Doug Forsyth, director general, market access; Dean Foster, director, trade policy and negotiations; and Reuben East, deputy director, investment trade policy.
Before I open up the floor for comments and remarks, the ambassador of Canada to Ecuador does not have a proper headset, so he will not be able to participate today.
After speaking with particularly Mr. Cannings, who would very much like to have your participation, Ambassador, we're wondering if the following would be possible. You could listen in on the discussion this afternoon. You will not be able to comment back, but if you would like us to make arrangements for you to appear on another occasion when you have the appropriate headset on, we can also make that arrangement.
What is the wish of the committee? Would we invite the ambassador to come back at another meeting when he has the appropriate headset on?
Mr. Cannings is saying yes.
:
Thank you, Madam Chair. It's nice to be back and to see all the committee members as well.
I'm pleased to be here today to address this committee and welcome your study on the proposed Canada-Ecuador free trade agreement negotiations.
[Translation]
Your study is timely, as government trade experts responsible for the various areas of free trade agreements are currently engaged in policy development work to propose chapters for planned negotiations.
Our team is also completing work on high-level negotiating goals, which should be presented to Parliament by the end of the month, so that you can provide your comments before the negotiations begin.
Let me now give some context on the possible launch of these negotiations.
[English]
At $116 billion in U.S. dollars, Ecuador's GDP represents roughly 3% of South America's gross domestic product. It's the only country on the Pacific coast of South America that Canada does not presently have a free trade agreement with, given that one or more such agreements are in force with Chile, Peru, Colombia and Panama.
Ecuador's current government under President Daniel Noboa Azin is among the most favourable to trade liberalization in the region. It also supports inclusive trade provisions in areas such as trade and gender, trade and indigenous peoples, and labour and the environment. It is notable that Ecuador is like-minded with Canada on issues such as human rights, the war in Ukraine and the centrality of the international rules-based order. It sees FTA's contribution to expanded economic prosperity as a means to advance its domestic social and security policies.
As you may be aware, Canada and Ecuador's trade officials undertook exploratory discussions through much of 2023 prior to taking a mutual decision to proceed towards the launch of negotiations. The exploratory discussions revealed a broad alignment in terms of approach and a strong willingness on both sides to show flexibility and advance negotiations quickly. In addition, both sides intend to carry out the negotiations in a largely virtual format, with minimal need for physical travel so as to approach the negotiations in a efficient and time-efficient manner.
Canada's objective is to negotiate a high standard, ambitious trade agreement with Ecuador. We will seek an agreement that provides Canadian firms with preferential access to the Ecuadorean market, as well as increased transparency and certainty for Canadian service providers and investors.
We will seek an agreement that reflects Canada's latest approaches, including in areas such as digital trade, inclusive trade, responsible business conduct, environment and labour. We will seek an agreement that ensures that the benefits are widely shared, including with traditionally under-represented groups such as women, indigenous peoples and small and medium-sized enterprises.
[Translation]
We know there is support for this agreement already. During the consultation process, we received positive feedback from stakeholders, including the agricultural and mining sectors.
We also heard from a number of provinces and territories, all of which supported the initiative as a way to create greater economic opportunities for Canadians and forge closer trade relationships with Ecuador.
In addition, we have heard concerns from stakeholders about certain provisions, such as investment. We are still thinking about how best to respond to those comments through our ongoing policy development work on our various chapter models for the free-trade agreement and through initiatives outside of the agreement.
[English]
It is in that same spirit that we welcome and consider your recommendations once you have completed your study.
In terms of economic impact, I will begin by noting that bilateral merchandise trade between Canada and Ecuador has been growing by 11% a year on average since 2010, reaching $1.3 billion in 2022. Nearly 40% of Canada's exports to Ecuador and nearly 90% of Canada's current imports from Ecuador are already duty-free. Preliminary analysis by the chief economist's office here at Global Affairs Canada has estimated that an FTA between Canada and Ecuador would generate modest but positive economic benefits for both countries. Canadian export gains are predicted in a wide variety of areas such as wheat, pulses and manufactured goods as well as in services trade.
Overall, preliminary estimates suggest that under an ambitious trade agreement, Canada's GDP could increase by about $83 million U.S. by 2030, while Ecuador's GDP could increase by approximately $49.3 million U.S. over the same time frame.
A particular area of interest as we head into negotiations relates to investment. As of 2022, Canada had the largest stock of foreign direct investment in Ecuador of any country at $2.6 billion, led by investments in the mining sector. Enforcement of investment chapter obligations through investor-state dispute settlement, ISDS, is a key interest for Canadian industry stakeholders.
In 2017, under a previous government, Ecuador gave notice of its intentions to terminate its 1997 foreign investment protection agreement, FIPA, with Canada. Termination became effective in 2018, although existing investments continue to be protected until 2033. However, we note that a recent ruling by Ecuador's constitutional court has found the inclusion of an ISDS mechanism in Ecuador's FTA with Costa Rica unconstitutional. Deliberations in Ecuador are ongoing regarding whether there are options that would allow it to move forward under certain conditions and this process will remain ongoing early in the months of our FTA negotiations.
Officials will explore options in this regard with Ecuador once negotiations begin, and we intend to base our position on Canada's latest investment agreement model, which includes clarifying that the parties maintain their right to regulate and preserve required policy flexibility in areas such as the environment, health, safety, indigenous rights, gender equality and cultural diversity.
[Translation]
In conclusion, Global Affairs Canada and the other departments working on our trade policy believe that, overall, a free trade agreement between Canada and Ecuador would be economically beneficial and would provide a means to support a government in the region that shares the same ideas and values.
[English]
I welcome comments and questions from the committee today, and look forward to reviewing the results of your work once your study has been completed.
:
Thank you, Madam Chair.
Mr. Forsyth, welcome back to the committee.
In the previous meeting, one of our colleagues remarked, “The trade between Canada and Ecuador is so modest, so why do we need it?” That was the thought, but we need trade agreements with big markets, small markets, all markets. I think we have 15 agreements covering 51 countries. The more we have, the better. Every small thing helps.
Again, in my view, the process of negotiation many times brings benefits. Maybe the Canada-U.K. trade negotiations are being paused, and have been paused with Canada-India. Very specifically, two days back I learned that one of the demands from Canada to India was for tax exemptions for pension fund investments. I'm told that, of the $75 billion Canada has invested in India, the bulk of it is from our pension plans. I was told that the last budget in India—I believe this month—had given exemptions to pension funds from the income tax provisions, and the only pension funds investing in India are from Canada, so that is the added benefit. In my view, it is important that whatever market we have—Ecuador, or any small or big market—we should continue to go on.
I have a couple of questions. I'll combine them, and then you can address them.
One is that, in the last meeting again, some people came, saying, “We shouldn't have ISDS.” My view on ISDS provisions is that we should look out for the interests of Canada, our economy, corporations and businesses. Can you elaborate on the importance of ISDS? It can vary from market to market. It may not be relevant to every single market we negotiate with, but why is that important in general?
The other one is that you mentioned the expected benefits will be moderate. Even though the benefits are moderate, how important is it in the bigger picture of Canada, having free trade agreements with different countries in different parts of the world?
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In terms of why we like to include the investor-state dispute settlement in our model, I'll cite a few reasons. This is not an exhaustive list but a few of them.
The first is that an investment chapter with investor-state dispute settlement provisions has proven to be an investment attraction vehicle because it provides a combination of things. It provides a stable, predictable environment for Canadian investors when they invest abroad. We've heard from stakeholders that it's quite important to carry on doing that.
Another reason is that, if we're to have a set of obligations in an investment chapter, which is the way we approach things, we feel that it's also important to have a means to enforce those obligations, and investor-state dispute settlement is a means to do that. It's quite important to have the two. Again, our stakeholders have said quite clearly to us that, if we're going to have a set of obligations, it's important to have a means to enforce those obligations.
A third reason is that, for the set of obligations you would find in an investment chapter, the only means to enforce them is through the treaty-based mechanism. I'll take an example in an existing agreement, the CETA, our agreement with the European Union. In the future, if a Canadian investor were to attempt to invoke the obligations under that treaty before a court in one of the European Union countries, it couldn't do that, because the treaty itself states that that's the mechanism to use, and those domestic courts don't have the legal competence to hear those claims. But for that mechanism, there would be no means to enforce those obligations.
Thank you for being here. It's good to see you once again.
After the completion of the Canada-U.S.-Mexico agreement in 2018, , who was then international trade minister among other things, said she was very proud of the fact that we didn't include ISDS in CUSMA. She said, “ISDS elevates the rights of corporations over those of sovereign governments. In removing it, we have strengthened our government's right to regulate in the public interest, to protect public health and the environment”.
We've had a number of cases in Canada that have been very expensive to Canadians, and we've had a number of cases in foreign countries in the guise of protecting Canadian investments. As was mentioned, Ecuador, in the face of one of those, actually pulled out of its agreements, because it didn't like what it was seeing in terms of the effect that foreign governments could have on environmental and human rights legislation and work in Ecuador. Now we have a different government.
I'm just wondering why Canada has seemingly changed its mind on ISDS. The world seems to be going away from it, but we seem to be doubling down on it, especially in cases where we have the Canadian mining industry and some players in that. Why are we still so keen on it in this day, when there seems to be a movement away from it elsewhere?
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I'm sorry. Can I just jump in?
Mr. Reuben East: Of course.
Mr. Richard Cannings: We hear that the new ISDS, or ISDS 2.0, has protections in it saying that this doesn't prevent either of the parties from legislating protections for human rights or the environment.
We have a situation in Ecuador with the Loma Larga mega-mining project, owned by Dundee Precious Metals, which is almost 8,000 hectares of paramo. We've had two binding referendums of Ecuadorean citizens. More than 80% are in favour of stopping these mining projects, because they're affecting the water supply for Cuenca, with 600,000 people, and yet the Ecuadorean government and the company insist on advancing the project in violation of the right to political participation.
I guess I'm skeptical; let's say a new Ecuadorean government came in and said, “Sorry, Dundee, you can't go ahead. We've had these referenda, and we are pulling the rights to mine here.” Would that protect the Ecuadorean people or would those go ahead? It seems that other situations have arisen where this doesn't really protect those governments from legislating about human rights or the environment.
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I guess I have a few points.
One is that in the situation we're in, we've heard from Ecuador that they're interested in discussing an investment chapter with us. In our discussions, we've sent a model to them that includes investor-state dispute settlement. They're very aware of that. At the outset, you will have heard that Canada, if I'm not mistaken, is Ecuador's number one investor, so there's mutual interest there in terms of an investment chapter with investment protection.
However, we have a very different model from what existed in the 1997 FIPA. We created a new model— a foreign investment protection agreement—that was made publicly available, I think, in 2021. It's a very different model. It builds on more than 30 years of our experience in both receiving claims, for example under the NAFTA, and also further investment agreements and investment chapters with partners like the European Union.
It's a chapter that has the right balance of, on one hand, the right to regulate and to protect things like human rights, the environment, etc., and the ability to protect those things, while at the same time providing for investors.
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I hope I understood your question correctly.
[English]
From an overall trade negotiation perspective, I think we definitely have a good base of knowledge from which we work. Our negotiators get experience through the various negotiations, whether that's the U.K., India, Indonesia or ASEAN. That helps us build our positions as we move forward.
What we'd like to do during the negotiations is, if we get a negotiated outcome in one agreement that is favourable to Canada—it doesn't matter what the issue area is—then we like to build on that experience and use it to the greatest extent possible with the next negotiating partner.
In this one, some of the areas we have negotiated, not so much the U.K., but maybe some of the smaller partners, will benefit our negotiating experience and we look to make some of those similar types of arrangements in the Canada-Ecuador FTA negotiations.
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I'll come back to the numbers first and then do the second part of the question.
As I said, five cases were settled. Seven of them were inactive, terminated or withdrawn. When they're withdrawn—and I can tell you, because in a couple of those cases I was trade counsel directly—those were cases in a consultation setting, for example. Two of them I can think of were withdrawn by the investor, who was hoping, at that point, to get some type of settlement. We said, “No, we'll be defending that vigorously.” They decided to withdraw that case to avoid costs against them, for example.
I think part of your question had to do with measures and with measures being withdrawn. Is that correct?
In my understanding, in no case was a measure withdrawn. Under investor-state, there's only one thing that a tribunal can do if there is a case in which they have found a breach, and that is to award damages. They cannot order a country under a treaty with Canada to withdraw a measure.
At the start, Mr. Forsyth, you mentioned there will be chapters or language on indigenous peoples, human rights, the environment, and yet there will also be an investor chapter with ISDS mechanisms.
Here we have a case in Ecuador, it seems to me, where some of the main conflicts around human rights and the environment, indigenous peoples in Ecuador, happen, unfortunately, because of Canadian investors. The ISDS is being used to protect them from efforts from an Ecuadorean government to legislate to protect its own peoples and its own environment.
I'm just wondering why we're doing this. How are we helping the Ecuadorean people by combining those two things?
There's this right to regulate language, but in Colombia we have an agreement and that language proved useless. When the Colombian government tried to regulate around the Canadian mining firm, Eco Oro, it used that ISDS provision and the Colombian government lost when they felt that this mining company was damaging the environment.
I'm really struggling here with how this helps Canada or how it helps Ecuador. How can we regulate UNDRIP in this situation, when we have a clear case of an Ecuadorean government and a Canadian company that is flouting the whole free, prior and informed consent aspect of UNDRIP?
I am lost. I can't see why we're even thinking of undertaking these negotiations if that's our baseline.
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I think in our current model, and the model that we've proposed to work with Ecuador on, it's careful to balance, as I mentioned earlier, the rights of investors through obligations protections and a mechanism to do that, but with the right to regulate the protection in areas such as the environment, labour, human rights, etc.
We think this model that we have now—much, much different from a 1997 model—strikes that balance.
I'll give you a few examples. We've talked a few times about right to regulate provisions. Those were not in our old model. They are currently, as of CETA going forward, in all of our FTAs across the board, not just on investment.
I talked about balance. We've strengthened substantive provisions, for example, in the investment chapter like expropriation. For example, the mere effect on an investor's investment does not amount to an expropriation. This is something that we've clarified in our provisions that wasn't there in the past.
Third, both parties in a treaty can take reservations to protect their public policy space in areas that they feel need protection. We do that regularly and so do our partners.
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Thank you, Madam Chair.
I just want to quickly follow up.
Based on the excellent briefing materials that were provided by our staff.... I mean, they broke out some interesting statistics based on StatsCan data from 2022. Canadian exports to Ecuador were $603 million. Wheat was almost $300 million of that. Refined oil, secondly, was $164 million. Those two items were about 77% of our trade exports.
Ecuador exports to Canada about $679 million. Crude oil is number one at $178 million. Precious minerals and ores are at $150 million. Again, those two make up about 48% of the total exports to Canada. Those two items are quite important to Ecuador, I would imagine, in any trade agreement that it reaches with Canada.
Have they positioned any policies or taken any positions to Canada with regard to protecting crude oil exports to Canada?
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Thank you, Madam Chair.
There are some well-intentioned NGOs in Canada that advocate on behalf of the people of Ecuador—not all people, because obviously the government and the majority of the people of Ecuador welcome foreign trade agreements. Just to give a parallel example, a couple of hundred people in Quebec, led by Greenpeace, protested against the Northvolt $7-billion investment in Quebec, employing 3,000 people to manufacture batteries. Based on that, if the people in Sweden advocated to their government that the people of Canada are protesting, so let's not talk trade or investment in Canada....
We have to understand that the global south is changing. I know you mentioned human rights, gender equality and other social issues. I hope we know that Canada, as a developed country, can't be seen to be lecturing or preaching. I think we have to use our words carefully. We have to be more prudent and pragmatic. However, the well-intentioned arguments against Canadian business, against Canadian interests and against the free trade agreement that we intend to have with Ecuador are, in my view, a bit problematic.
When Canadian investments or any investments go to a country like Ecuador.... It is a middle-income country, it is not a poor country like many countries in Asia and Africa. Still, when investment goes there, with Canada being the largest foreign investor there, it creates economic development opportunities. It create jobs for Ecuadorean people. It creates infrastructure—roads, power generation plants, hospitals, schools. Those are the kinds of positive multiplier effects of the investment that goes in there. That should also be considered.
Talking of considerations, you did mention that the chief economist measured the benefits that this agreement can bring into Canada, which apparently are a bit modest. Did that economist calculate the lost economic opportunity costs from not having a free trade agreement wherein our competitors, to take the example of supplying lentils or wheat, have a free trade agreement, causing a potential loss of Canadian trade with Ecuador?
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Third time's the charm.
We know that mining companies have behaved atrociously in Ecuador, as in a number of countries in Latin American and elsewhere around the world. Many are arming their security personnel, which leads to clashes between the security personnel of these mining companies and the local, often indigenous, communities. We talked about this earlier.
How can we make sure that there will be effective due diligence measures in place to monitor the behaviour of Canadian mining companies?
We know—and the Ecuadorian ambassador said as much—that this agreement will develop the mining industry. However, with mining projects, there can be local push-back. The mining companies like to go in heavy-handed, so to speak.
What guarantee is there that Canadian companies will respect human rights under this agreement?
I'm going to follow up with what I guess is a similar kind of question.
We've heard that Canada is Ecuador's biggest trading partner. Most of that is in mining. We have I think admirable chapters on the rights of indigenous peoples, on the environment, etc., and apparently there are dispute mechanisms that would go along with those chapters, and Canada could complain if Ecuador was not abiding by them.
I'm just wondering about this, because we have a situation here where it seems that most of the human rights violations and most of the environmental problems the Ecuadoreans are concerned about are being caused by Canadian mining companies that are being protected by an ISDS provision. Who makes those complaints and how are they adjudicated? It seems that we are working at cross-purposes here.
Also, just so I can get this in before my time is up, would one of these things that might go along with it be a stronger ombudsperson for responsible enterprise in Canada who has the powers to get documents and get witnesses to testify? She said to this committee she needed to make the changes that are necessary.
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On that, I will just note that the question pertains to a much broader global responsible business conduct regime in Canada. At present, Canada has measures and frameworks in place to encourage responsible business conduct by Canadian companies active abroad.
The government has two non-judicial dispute settlement mechanisms: our national contact point for responsible business conduct and the Canadian ombudsperson for responsible enterprise.
Also notable is Canada's Corruption of Foreign Public Officials Act, which continues to help ensure that Canadian businesses are engaging responsibly in their engagement with foreign public officials.
As regards the particular FTA, we're working on a chapter and would welcome feedback on the kinds of things that would go in that chapter, but I'll also say that we have a number of other initiatives under way outside of the FTA that are of note.
Just next week, a project will begin where a Canadian international development company will be providing advice and assistance to the Ecuadorean government on the development of a free, prior and informed consent law. I think that's a very net-positive opportunity for Canada to make a positive contribution to these issues in Ecuador and one that I think complements the free trade agreement.